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FC Khankendi vs MOIK Baku - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Azerbaijan Azerbaijan

I Liqa
Our Tip

Match Events

66' Event
Ismayilov B.
90' Event
Ismayilov B.

AI Match Summary

MOIK Baku in this I Liqa matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored MOIK Baku.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
FC Khankendi
30%
Draws
58%
MOIK Baku
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: MOIK Baku

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • MOIK Baku have won more games recently than FC Khankendi.
  • 58% — that's where the model lands on MOIK Baku taking it.
  • Regular I Liqa form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 94%
Over 1.5 Goals 84%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
FC Khankendi Clean Sheet 20%
MOIK Baku Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Khankendi MOIK Baku
Matches Played 5 29
Wins 0 11
Draws 2 6
Losses 3 12
Goals Scored 0.8 1.34
Goals Conceded 1.6 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 1.11 1.23
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 18, 2026 I Liqa
FC Khankendi vs MOIK Baku
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FC Khankendi Compare

Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.56

MOIK Baku Compare

Top Goalscorer Ismayilov B.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.12
Avg xA / game 0.68

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Khankendi 20 / 100
MOIK Baku 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Khankendi MOIK Baku

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MOIK Baku Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FC Khankendi found the back of the net in 80% of recent matches (5 games).

Defensive concern: MOIK Baku conceded in 79% of 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Solid form: FC Khankendi remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

FC Khankendi VS MOIK Baku
0.6 Goals Scored 1.25
1.2 Goals Conceded 1.63
80% Over 1.5 88%
20% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

FC Khankendi

(Home)
09 Oct
Shimal
1 : 1
FC Khankendi
18 Sept
FC Khankendi
0 : 2
MOIK Baku
10 Sept
Gancabasar
2 : 1
FC Khankendi
03 Sept
FC Khankendi
1 : 1
Sabail
29 Oct
FC Khankendi
1 : 2
Difai Agsu

MOIK Baku

(Away)
09 Oct
MOIK Baku
3 : 0
Mingachevir
18 Sept
FC Khankendi
0 : 2
MOIK Baku
11 Sept
MOIK Baku
1 : 1
Shimal
03 Sept
MOIK Baku
0 : 1
Sahdag Qusar
21 May
MOIK Baku
4 : 0
Difai Agsu
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sahdag Qusar 4 4 0 0 13:1 12
2 Gancabasar 4 4 0 0 9:2 12
3 Sabail 4 2 2 0 5:3 8
4 Karvan 4 2 1 1 7:3 7
5 MOIK Baku 4 2 1 1 6:2 7
6 Zaqatala PFK 4 1 1 2 5:11 4
7 FC Khankendi 4 0 2 2 3:6 2
8 Shimal 4 0 2 2 4:8 2
9 Mingachevir 4 0 1 3 3:10 1
10 Baku Sporting 4 0 0 4 0:9 0
Promotion - Premier League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Premier League (Relegation)
Relegation - I Liqa (Relegation)