Sport Picks

Finland

Kakkonen North 2004

Tervarit

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

FC Korsholm Mustasaari play Tervarit in the Kakkonen North 2004. It looks like a close match. Recently, FC Korsholm Mustasaari averaged 1.15 goals scored and 3.06 conceded. Tervarit averaged 0.94 goals scored and 2.91 conceded. In past meetings, FC Korsholm Mustasaari won 2, Tervarit won 2, and they drew 0. Their last match on Sep 11, 2005 ended 1:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.98 for FC Korsholm Mustasaari and 1.05 for Tervarit. This points to a FC Korsholm Mustasaari double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%

FC Korsholm Mustasaari

15%

Draws

41%

Tervarit

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: FC Korsholm Mustasaari

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence

FC Korsholm Mustasaari picked up more points recently compared to Tervarit.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.98 vs 1.05 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 68%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%

Over 1.5 Goals 88%

Over 2.5 Goals 68%

Over 3.5 Goals 41%

Over 4.5 Goals 20%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 56%

FC Korsholm Mustasaari Clean Sheet 22%

Tervarit Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 79%

Second Half Goal 84%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	FC Korsholm Mustasaari	Tervarit
Matches Played	34	34
Wins	4	3
Draws	3	7
Losses	27	24
Goals Scored	1.15	0.94
Goals Conceded	3.06	2.91

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 11, 2005 Kakkonen North

FC Korsholm Mustasaari vs Tervarit

Possession: 46% - 54% Cards: 0 - 2

1:2

Jul 10, 2005 Kakkonen North

Tervarit vs FC Korsholm Mustasaari

Possession: 45% - 57% Cards: 1 - 1

0:4

Aug 28, 2004 Kakkonen North

FC Korsholm Mustasaari vs Tervarit

Possession: 50% - 49% Cards: 0 - 3

3:1

Jun 13, 2004 Kakkonen North

Tervarit vs FC Korsholm Mustasaari

Possession: 50% - 44% Cards: 0 - 1

2:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Korsholm Mustasaari 44 / 100

Tervarit 39 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

FC Korsholm Mustasaari Tervarit

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: FC Korsholm Mustasaari or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +22.3%

2.78

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +9.5%

1.61

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

FC Korsholm Mustasaari attacking → ← attacking Tervarit

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FC Korsholm Mustasaari scored in 62% of their last 34 games.

Tervarit let in goals in 94% of their last 34 matches.

Games between these two average 3.25 goals.

FC Korsholm Mustasaari went unbeaten in 0 of their last 5 games.

Tervarit lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

15 Points in last 5 16

0.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.00

0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.75

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	KPV Kokkola	20	15	1	4	48:13	46
2	OLS Oulu	20	14	4	2	42:11	46
3	JBK	20	11	2	7	44:30	35
4	PS Kemi	20	9	8	3	37:26	35
5	FC Kiisto Vaasa	20	9	4	7	47:34	31
6	VIFK	20	9	4	7	39:32	31
7	FC Korsholm Mustasaari	20	6	4	10	22:34	22
8	TUS	20	6	3	11	28:34	21
9	YPA	20	6	0	14	36:74	18
10	Tervarit	20	4	2	14	23:35	14
11	Rio Grande Rovaniemi	20	4	2	14	14:57	14