Sport Picks

Stadium Background

FC La Habana vs Isla de La Juventud

Cuba Cuba

Liga Nacional 2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

FC La Habana in this Liga Nacional 2023 matchup, with the score ending 4-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored FC La Habana.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
FC La Habana
33%
Draws
27%
Isla de La Juventud
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: FC La Habana

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • FC La Habana have won more games recently than Isla de La Juventud.
  • FC La Habana are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Regular Liga Nacional 2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.4%
FC La Habana Clean Sheet 20%
Isla de La Juventud Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC La Habana Isla de La Juventud
Matches Played 39 23
Wins 22 6
Draws 9 3
Losses 8 14
Goals Scored 1.13 0.38
Goals Conceded 0.63 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 0.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 21, 2025 Liga Nacional
FC La Habana vs Isla de La Juventud
3:1
May 17, 2025 Liga Nacional
Isla de La Juventud vs FC La Habana
3:0
Apr 12, 2025 Liga Nacional
FC La Habana vs Isla de La Juventud
1:0
Mar 22, 2025 Liga Nacional
Isla de La Juventud vs FC La Habana
0:1
Feb 10, 2024 Liga Nacional
FC La Habana vs Isla de La Juventud
0:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC La Habana 40 / 100
Isla de La Juventud 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC La Habana Isla de La Juventud

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FCL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FC La Habana scored in 79% of their last 39 games.

Isla de La Juventud's defensive record shows goals conceded in 74% of 23 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.

FC La Habana went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

FC La Habana VS Isla de La Juventud
1.13 Goals Scored 0.38
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.63
38% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1FC Cienfuegos761014:219
2FC La Habana752011:217
3Matanzas740311:812
4Artemisa731315:810
5FC Villa Clara72146:117
6Isla de La Juventud72145:107
7Pinar del Rio71246:155
8Mayabeque Guines71064:163
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1FC Santiago de Cuba742114:514
2FC Guantanamo742112:614
3FC Holguin74129:713
4FC Camaguey73319:412
5CF Granma73045:99
6FC Sancti Spiritus72142:67
7FC Ciego de Avila72145:107
8Las Tunas70253:122