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FC La Habana vs Isla de La Juventud - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Cuba Cuba

Liga Nacional 2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

FC La Habana in this Liga Nacional 2023 matchup, with the score ending 4-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored FC La Habana.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
FC La Habana
15%
Draws
40%
Isla de La Juventud
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: FC La Habana

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • FC La Habana have won more games recently than Isla de La Juventud.
  • FC La Habana are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Regular Liga Nacional 2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.2%
FC La Habana Clean Sheet 20%
Isla de La Juventud Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC La Habana Isla de La Juventud
Matches Played 36 23
Wins 21 6
Draws 8 3
Losses 7 14
Goals Scored 1.72 0.87
Goals Conceded 0.89 1.65
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 0.51
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 21, 2025 Liga Nacional
FC La Habana vs Isla de La Juventud
3:1
May 17, 2025 Liga Nacional
Isla de La Juventud vs FC La Habana
3:0
Apr 12, 2025 Liga Nacional
FC La Habana vs Isla de La Juventud
1:0
Mar 22, 2025 Liga Nacional
Isla de La Juventud vs FC La Habana
0:1
Feb 10, 2024 Liga Nacional
FC La Habana vs Isla de La Juventud
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC La Habana 40 / 100
Isla de La Juventud 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC La Habana Isla de La Juventud

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FC La Habana Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FC La Habana scored in 78% of their last 36 games.

Isla de La Juventud's defensive record shows goals conceded in 74% of 23 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.

FC La Habana went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

FC La Habana VS Isla de La Juventud
1.13 Goals Scored 0.38
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.63
38% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

FC La Habana

(Home)
12 Jul
FC Guantanamo
0 : 1
FC La Habana
21 Jun
FC La Habana
3 : 1
Isla de La Juventud
14 Jun
Pinar del Rio
2 : 2
FC La Habana
28 May
FC La Habana
5 : 2
Artemisa
17 May
Isla de La Juventud
3 : 0
FC La Habana
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Isla de La Juventud

(Away)
21 Jun
FC La Habana
3 : 1
Isla de La Juventud
18 Jun
Artemisa
0 : 3
Isla de La Juventud
17 May
Isla de La Juventud
3 : 0
FC La Habana
09 May
Isla de La Juventud
0 : 3
Artemisa
03 May
Pinar del Rio
0 : 1
Isla de La Juventud
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC Cienfuegos 7 6 1 0 14:2 19
2 FC La Habana 7 5 2 0 11:2 17
3 Matanzas 7 4 0 3 11:8 12
4 Artemisa 7 3 1 3 15:8 10
5 FC Villa Clara 7 2 1 4 6:11 7
6 Isla de La Juventud 7 2 1 4 5:10 7
7 Pinar del Rio 7 1 2 4 6:15 5
8 Mayabeque Guines 7 1 0 6 4:16 3
Promotion - Liga Nacional 2023 (Apertura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga Nacional 2023 (Clausura)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC Santiago de Cuba 7 4 2 1 14:5 14
2 FC Guantanamo 7 4 2 1 12:6 14
3 FC Holguin 7 4 1 2 9:7 13
4 FC Camaguey 7 3 3 1 9:4 12
5 CF Granma 7 3 0 4 5:9 9
6 FC Sancti Spiritus 7 2 1 4 2:6 7
7 FC Ciego de Avila 7 2 1 4 5:10 7
8 Las Tunas 7 0 2 5 3:12 2
Promotion - Liga Nacional 2023 (Apertura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga Nacional 2023 (Clausura)