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FC Liefering vs St. Polten - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Austria Austria

2. Liga Red Bull Arena, Salzburg
Our Tip

Match Events

11'
Traore L.
18' Event
Gabriel Jesus D.
Assist: Mane E. H.
21'
Traore L.

AI Match Summary

The 2. Liga game between FC Liefering and St. Polten finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward St. Polten.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

25%
FC Liefering
35%
Draws
40%
St. Polten
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: St. Polten

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and FC Liefering come out ahead of St. Polten on wins alone.
  • Model gives FC Liefering a 42% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
FC Liefering Clean Sheet 16%
St. Polten Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Liefering St. Polten
Matches Played 24 27
Wins 12 11
Draws 4 6
Losses 8 10
Goals Scored 1.88 1.11
Goals Conceded 1.54 1.04
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2026 2. Liga
FC Liefering vs St. Polten
1:3
Apr 19, 2026 2. Liga
St. Polten vs FC Liefering
0:0
Oct 24, 2025 2. Liga
FC Liefering vs St. Polten
3:1
Apr 21, 2025 2. Liga
FC Liefering vs St. Polten
2:4
Oct 18, 2024 2. Liga
St. Polten vs FC Liefering
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FC Liefering Compare

Top Goalscorer Nisic S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

St. Polten Compare

Top Goalscorer Hartwig L.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Gabriel Jesus D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Liefering 41 / 100
St. Polten 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Liefering St. Polten

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: FC Liefering scored in 75% of their last 24 outings.

Defensive concern: St. Polten conceded in 63% of 27 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

FC Liefering went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

FC Liefering VS St. Polten
1 Goals Scored 1
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

FC Liefering

(Home)
24 Oct
FC Liefering
2 : 2
SW Bregenz
21 Oct
FC Liefering
0 : 0
Mainz U19
17 Oct
BW Linz
4 : 1
FC Liefering
10 Oct
FC Liefering
3 : 1
Sturm II
24 Sept
FC Liefering
0 : 1
Tirol
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St. Polten

(Away)
23 Oct
Kapfenberg
1 : 1
St. Polten
16 Oct
St. Polten
0 : 0
Rapid Vienna II
09 Oct
First Vienna
3 : 1
St. Polten
19 Sept
St. Polten
2 : 1
SW Bregenz
13 Sept
FC Liefering
1 : 3
St. Polten
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 BW Linz 10 8 1 1 26:6 25
2 First Vienna 10 8 1 1 21:9 25
3 Austria Vienna (Am) 10 6 1 3 17:13 19
4 Admira 10 6 0 4 13:10 18
5 Amstetten 10 4 5 1 18:14 17
6 A. Salzburg 10 5 1 4 17:14 16
7 Wacker Innsbruck 10 4 2 4 12:11 14
8 FC Liefering 10 4 2 4 20:22 14
9 Floridsdorfer AC Wien 10 4 1 5 14:16 13
10 ASK Voitsberg 10 3 3 4 19:19 12
11 SW Bregenz 10 3 3 4 13:15 12
12 St. Polten 10 3 2 5 8:10 11
13 Sturm II 10 2 2 6 16:24 8
14 Hogo Hertha Wels 10 2 2 6 13:25 8
15 Kapfenberg 10 2 1 7 12:19 7
16 Rapid Vienna II 10 2 1 7 10:22 7
Promotion - Bundesliga 2027/2028 (Main)