Sport Picks

Stadium Background

FC Liefering vs St. Polten

Austria Austria

2. Liga Red Bull Arena, Salzburg
Our Tip

Match Events

11'
Traore L.
18' Event
Gabriel Jesus D.
Assist: Mane E. H.
21'
Traore L.

AI Match Summary

The 2. Liga game between FC Liefering and St. Polten finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward St. Polten.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
FC Liefering
15%
Draws
39%
St. Polten
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: FC Liefering

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and FC Liefering come out ahead of St. Polten on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
FC Liefering Clean Sheet 20%
St. Polten Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Liefering St. Polten
Matches Played 26 28
Wins 15 13
Draws 4 5
Losses 7 10
Goals Scored 1.96 1.36
Goals Conceded 1.46 1.11
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2026 2. Liga
FC Liefering vs St. Polten
1:3
Apr 19, 2026 2. Liga
St. Polten vs FC Liefering
0:0
Oct 24, 2025 2. Liga
FC Liefering vs St. Polten
3:1
Apr 21, 2025 2. Liga
FC Liefering vs St. Polten
2:4
Oct 18, 2024 2. Liga
St. Polten vs FC Liefering
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FC Liefering Compare

Top Goalscorer Nisic S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

St. Polten Compare

Top Goalscorer Hartwig L.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Gabriel Jesus D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Liefering 32 / 100
St. Polten 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Liefering St. Polten

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: FC Liefering scored in 81% of their last 26 outings.

Defensive concern: St. Polten conceded in 61% of 28 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

FC Liefering went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

FC Liefering VS St. Polten
1.63 Goals Scored 0.5
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 38%
75% Over 2.5 38%
63% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

FC Liefering

(Home)
13 Sept
FC Liefering
1 : 3
St. Polten
28 Aug
ASK Voitsberg
2 : 3
FC Liefering
21 Aug
FC Liefering
2 : 1
Austria Vienna (Am)
16 Aug
First Vienna
2 : 2
FC Liefering
13 Aug
FC Liefering
0 : 4
Aris Limassol
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St. Polten

(Away)
13 Sept
FC Liefering
1 : 3
St. Polten
06 Sept
St. Polten
0 : 3
Salzburg
28 Aug
St. Polten
1 : 0
A. Salzburg
21 Aug
Wacker Innsbruck
1 : 0
St. Polten
14 Aug
St. Polten
0 : 1
BW Linz
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 BW Linz 6 5 0 1 17:4 15
2 First Vienna 6 4 1 1 11:6 13
3 FC Liefering 6 3 1 2 14:11 10
4 A. Salzburg 6 3 1 2 13:10 10
5 Wacker Innsbruck 6 3 1 2 8:6 10
6 SW Bregenz 6 3 1 2 10:10 10
7 Floridsdorfer AC Wien 6 3 1 2 9:10 10
8 Amstetten 6 2 3 1 10:8 9
9 Admira 6 3 0 3 7:5 9
10 Austria Vienna (Am) 6 3 0 3 9:10 9
11 Sturm II 6 2 1 3 13:16 7
12 St. Polten 6 2 0 4 4:5 6
13 ASK Voitsberg 6 1 3 2 8:11 6
14 Rapid Vienna II 6 2 0 4 6:13 6
15 Hogo Hertha Wels 6 1 1 4 7:14 4
16 Kapfenberg 6 1 0 5 6:13 3
Promotion - Bundesliga 2027/2028 (Main)