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FC Lochin vs Aral

Uzbekistan Uzbekistan

Pro Liga
Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Kalmagambetov R.
36' Event
Orinboyev S.
49' Event
Nomozov M.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Pro Liga matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
FC Lochin
20%
Draws
52%
Aral
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Aral

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • FC Lochin haven't matched Aral's recent run of results.
  • Aral are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Pro Liga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
FC Lochin Clean Sheet 11%
Aral Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Lochin Aral
Matches Played 15 28
Wins 7 20
Draws 4 4
Losses 4 4
Goals Scored 1.47 1.82
Goals Conceded 1.33 0.79
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 1, 2026 Pro Liga
FC Lochin vs Aral
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FC Lochin Compare

Top Goalscorer Orinboyev S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Otakulov E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Aral Compare

Top Goalscorer Kalmagambetov R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Nomozov M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Lochin 10 / 100
Aral 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Lochin Aral

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aral Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

FC Lochin's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 15 recent games.

Solid form: FC Lochin remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Aral let in goals in 57% of their last 28 matches.

Scoring Trends

FC Lochin VS Aral
1.5 Goals Scored 2.38
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.38
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

FC Lochin

(Home)
10 Aug
FC Lochin
2 : 1
TerDU
05 Aug
FC Lochin
0 : 0
Yaypan
31 Jul
Metallurg Bekabad
5 : 0
FC Lochin
25 Jul
FarDU
2 : 1
FC Lochin
18 Jul
Olimpik-Mobiuz
2 : 3
FC Lochin
Page 1 of 3

Aral

(Away)
10 Aug
Respublika FA
0 : 0
Aral
05 Aug
Aral
1 : 0
Metallurg Bekabad
31 Jul
Gazalkent
0 : 2
Aral
24 Jul
Aral
3 : 1
Shortan Guzor
08 Jun
Jayxun
1 : 4
Aral
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Aral 14 11 3 0 30:8 36
2 Shortan Guzor 14 9 3 2 22:14 30
3 Kattaqurgon 14 9 3 2 19:8 30
4 FarDU 15 7 5 3 26:22 26
5 FC Lochin 14 7 4 3 22:15 25
6 Olimpik-Mobiuz 15 7 4 4 28:15 25
7 Gazalkent 15 7 3 5 27:18 24
8 Metallurg Bekabad 14 6 4 4 31:13 22
9 Yaypan 14 4 3 7 15:24 15
10 Jayxun 15 4 3 8 16:22 15
11 Respublika FA 14 3 4 7 14:21 13
12 BuxDu 14 3 1 10 13:33 10
13 Pakhtakor II 14 1 1 12 8:36 4
14 TerDU 14 1 1 12 10:32 4
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