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FC Lovech vs Bdin Vidin

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - North-West 2025/2026
Fri, Apr 10, 2026
0 - 3
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

FC Lovech host Bdin Vidin in the Third League - North-West 2025/2026. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. FC Lovech have averaged 0.63 scored and 1.9 conceded recently, against Bdin Vidin's 2.55 scored and 1.48 conceded. Past meetings favor FC Lovech slightly — 3-2-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 10, 2026, ending 0:3. The numbers (1.35 xG vs 2.81) point toward Bdin Vidin. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
FC Lovech
15%
Draws
85%
Bdin Vidin
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Bdin Vidin

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Bdin Vidin carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Bdin Vidin a 85% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 81%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 81%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 62.2%
FC Lovech Clean Sheet 10%
Bdin Vidin Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Lovech Bdin Vidin
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 7 18
Draws 2 1
Losses 21 10
Goals Scored 0.63 2.55
Goals Conceded 1.9 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 2.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 10, 2026 Third League - North-West
FC Lovech vs Bdin Vidin
0:3
Sep 27, 2025 Third League - North-West
Bdin Vidin vs FC Lovech
0:2
Apr 27, 2024 Vtora liga
Bdin Vidin vs FC Lovech
0:1
Oct 7, 2023 Vtora liga
FC Lovech vs Bdin Vidin
0:1
Apr 1, 2017 Third League - North-West
FC Lovech vs Bdin Vidin
6:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Lovech 10 / 100
Bdin Vidin 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Lovech Bdin Vidin

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bdin Vidin Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bdin Vidin has conceded goals in 72% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Attacking prowess: FC Lovech scored in 27% of their last 30 outings.

Away concern: Bdin Vidin has suffered 2 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

FC Lovech VS Bdin Vidin
0 Goals Scored 2.63
3 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 75%
100% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

FC Lovech

(Home)
23 May
FC Lovech
0 : 3
Juventus Malchika
16 May
Etar II
3 : 0
FC Lovech
09 May
Yantra Polski Trambesh
3 : 0
FC Lovech
02 May
FC Lovech
0 : 3
Partizan Cerven Brjag
25 Apr
Akademik Svishtov
3 : 0
FC Lovech
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Bdin Vidin

(Away)
12 Sept
Bdin Vidin
3 : 2
Pavlikeni
05 Sept
Spartak Pleven II
2 : 4
Bdin Vidin
29 Aug
Bdin Vidin
0 : 1
Lokomotiv Mezdra
22 Aug
Yantra Polski Trambesh
3 : 1
Bdin Vidin
23 May
Bdin Vidin
1 : 0
Pavlikeni
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lokomotiv Mezdra 22 19 1 2 62:20 58
2 Akademik Svishtov 22 17 3 2 40:11 54
3 Kom Berkovitsa 22 13 6 3 46:22 45
4 Bdin Vidin 22 14 1 7 57:26 43
5 Partizan Cerven Brjag 22 8 6 8 25:25 30
6 Pavlikeni 22 9 3 10 29:24 30
7 Etar II 22 8 5 9 32:31 29
8 Yantra Polski Trambesh 22 6 6 10 37:47 24
9 OFK Levski 22 6 5 11 32:35 23
10 Troyan 22 5 1 16 20:56 16
11 Juventus Malchika 22 2 1 19 14:72 4
12 FC Lovech 22 6 0 16 18:43 18
Promotion - Vtora liga (Main)