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FC Lovech vs Chernomorets 1919 Prediction & H2H Stats

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Bulgarian Cup 2025/2026 Gradski stadion Lovech, Loveč
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Esuma F.
20' Event
Kostadinov D.
52' Event
Chavorski T.

AI Match Summary

Chernomorets 1919 in this Bulgarian Cup 2025/2026 tie, finishing 0-5. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
FC Lovech
15%
Draws
85%
Chernomorets 1919
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Chernomorets 1919

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Chernomorets 1919 have won more games recently than FC Lovech.
  • Model gives Chernomorets 1919 a 85% chance of winning this.
  • Chernomorets 1919 arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor FC Lovech, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 59.8%
FC Lovech Clean Sheet 10%
Chernomorets 1919 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Lovech Chernomorets 1919
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 7 14
Draws 2 9
Losses 21 7
Goals Scored 0.63 1.43
Goals Conceded 1.9 0.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.54 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 12, 2025 Bulgarian Cup
FC Lovech vs Chernomorets 1919
0:5
Apr 20, 2024 Vtora liga
FC Lovech vs Chernomorets 1919
2:0
Oct 3, 2023 Vtora liga
Chernomorets 1919 vs FC Lovech
2:1
Dec 4, 2013 efbet League
FC Lovech vs Chernomorets 1919
3:1
Aug 31, 2013 efbet League
Chernomorets 1919 vs FC Lovech
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FC Lovech Compare

Avg xG / game 1.18
Avg xA / game 0.77

Chernomorets 1919 Compare

Top Goalscorer Esuma F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kostadinov D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Lovech 10 / 100
Chernomorets 1919 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Lovech Chernomorets 1919

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Chernomorets 1919 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

FC Lovech scored in 27% of their last 30 games.

Chernomorets 1919 let in goals in 53% of their last 30 matches.

Scoring Trends

FC Lovech VS Chernomorets 1919
0 Goals Scored 0.88
3 Goals Conceded 1.88
100% Over 1.5 75%
100% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

FC Lovech

(Home)
23 May
FC Lovech
0 : 3
Juventus Malchika
16 May
Etar II
3 : 0
FC Lovech
09 May
Yantra Polski Trambesh
3 : 0
FC Lovech
02 May
FC Lovech
0 : 3
Partizan Cerven Brjag
25 Apr
Akademik Svishtov
3 : 0
FC Lovech
Page 1 of 6

Chernomorets 1919

(Away)
27 Sept
Chernomorets 1919
2 : 0
Montana
20 Sept
Etar
2 : 4
Chernomorets 1919
13 Sept
Chernomorets 1919
3 : 0
Spartak Pleven
07 Sept
Fratria
2 : 2
Chernomorets 1919
02 Sept
Chernomorets 1919
1 : 0
Ludogorets II
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Bdin Vidin 2
Etar 1
TBD -
Dobrudzha -
Zagorets -
TBD -
TBD -
Botev Vratsa -
Partizan Cerven Brjag 0
Minyor Pernik 2
TBD -
Cherno More -
Germaneya 0
Fratria 4
TBD -
Arda -
Benkovski 0
Dunav Ruse 4
TBD -
Lok. Plovdiv -
Septemvri Tervel 0
Marek 3
TBD -
Montana -
Yambol 1915 2
Vihren 1
TBD -
Spartak Varna -
OFC Haskovo 0
Spartak Pleven 4
TBD -
Botev Plovdiv -
Botev Novi Pazar 1
Svoge 4
TBD -
Septemvri Sofia -
FC Lovech 0
Chernomorets 1919 5
TBD -
Ludogorets -
Pernik 1
Hebar 8
TBD -
Levski Sofia -
Bistritsa 2
Gorna 1
TBD -
Beroe -
Chernolomets 2
Sevlievo 4
TBD -
CSKA Sofia -
Rilski Sportist 2
Belasitsa Petrich 1
TBD -
Lok. Sofia -
Spartak Plovdiv 2
Pirin Blagoevgrad 1
TBD -
Slavia Sofia -
Kom Berkovitsa 0
Yantra Gabrovo 1
TBD -
CSKA 1948 Sofia -
1/16-finals
Bdin Vidin 2
Dobrudzha 7
Zagorets 1
Botev Vratsa 4
Minyor Pernik 0
Cherno More 3
Fratria 1
Arda 2
Dunav Ruse 1
Lok. Plovdiv 2
Marek 1
Montana 4
Yambol 1915 1
Spartak Varna 3
Spartak Pleven 0
Botev Plovdiv 4
Svoge 0
Septemvri Sofia 2
Chernomorets 1919 2
Ludogorets 3
Hebar 0
Levski Sofia 3
Bistritsa 1
Beroe 0
Sevlievo 1
CSKA Sofia 2
Rilski Sportist 2
Lok. Sofia 3
Spartak Plovdiv 1
Slavia Sofia 2
Yantra Gabrovo 0
CSKA 1948 Sofia 4
1/8-finals
Dobrudzha 0
Botev Vratsa 1
Cherno More 0
Arda 3
Lok. Plovdiv 4
Montana 0
Spartak Varna 0
Botev Plovdiv 2
Septemvri Sofia 1
Ludogorets 3
Levski Sofia 3
Bistritsa 0
CSKA Sofia 2
Lok. Sofia 1
Slavia Sofia 2
CSKA 1948 Sofia 3
Quarter-finals
Botev Vratsa 2
Arda 3
Lok. Plovdiv 1
Botev Plovdiv 0
Ludogorets 1
Levski Sofia 0
CSKA Sofia 2
CSKA 1948 Sofia 0
Semi-finals
Arda 1
Lok. Plovdiv 5
Ludogorets 1
CSKA Sofia 2
Final
Lok. Plovdiv 1
CSKA Sofia 2