Sport Picks

Stadium Background

FC Lustenau vs Fugen - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Austria Austria

Regionalliga West
Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
01:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

FC Lustenau host Fugen in the Regionalliga West. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Recent numbers: FC Lustenau at 1.3 goals for, 2.26 against; Fugen at 2.79 for, 1.82 against. These two haven't met recently, so form does most of the talking. The numbers (1.69 xG vs 2.00) point toward Fugen. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
FC Lustenau
35%
Draws
26%
Fugen
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: FC Lustenau

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Fugen come out ahead of FC Lustenau on wins alone.
  • FC Lustenau are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Regular Regionalliga West form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 81.4%
FC Lustenau Clean Sheet 10%
Fugen Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Lustenau Fugen
Matches Played 27 28
Wins 6 18
Draws 8 2
Losses 13 8
Goals Scored 1.3 2.79
Goals Conceded 2.26 1.82
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Lustenau 56 / 100
Fugen 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Lustenau Fugen

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FC Lustenau Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fugen's defensive record shows goals conceded in 86% of 28 matches.

FC Lustenau found the back of the net in 78% of recent matches (27 games).

Recent resilience: FC Lustenau stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Fugen's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

FC Lustenau VS Fugen
1.13 Goals Scored 2.13
1.88 Goals Conceded 2.25
88% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

FC Lustenau

(Home)
03 Oct
Lochau
1 : 1
FC Lustenau
26 Sept
FC Lustenau
1 : 1
SK St. Johann
19 Sept
FC Wolfurt
2 : 3
FC Lustenau
12 Sept
FC Lustenau
1 : 3
Tirol (Am)
05 Sept
Reichenau
0 : 0
FC Lustenau
Page 1 of 6

Fugen

(Away)
03 Oct
SK St. Johann
5 : 1
Fugen
26 Sept
Fugen
6 : 1
FC Wolfurt
20 Sept
Tirol (Am)
6 : 0
Fugen
11 Sept
Fugen
2 : 2
Reichenau
05 Sept
Dornbirn
4 : 0
Fugen
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Hohenems 10 9 0 1 27:9 27
2 SC Imst 10 7 1 2 17:7 22
3 Schwaz 10 7 1 2 23:16 22
4 Kitzbuhel 10 7 0 3 23:12 21
5 Dornbirn 10 6 2 2 23:10 20
6 Tirol (Am) 10 6 1 3 29:14 19
7 SK St. Johann 10 5 3 2 18:11 18
8 Rothis 10 4 3 3 19:18 15
9 Fugen 10 4 1 5 20:26 13
10 Reichenau 10 2 3 5 10:18 9
11 Lochau 10 2 2 6 13:26 8
12 Kufstein 10 1 4 5 12:17 7
13 FC Lustenau 10 1 4 5 9:23 7
14 Lauterach 10 1 3 6 15:24 6
15 Altach U21 10 1 3 6 15:25 6
16 FC Wolfurt 10 1 1 8 12:29 4
Promotion - Regionalliga Play Offs 2026/2027 (Main)