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FC Madalena vs Aliados Lordelo

Portugal Portugal

Second Division - Zona Centro 2011/2012
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AI Match Summary

The Second Division - Zona Centro 2011/2012 game between FC Madalena and Aliados Lordelo finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward FC Madalena.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
FC Madalena
44%
Draws
20%
Aliados Lordelo
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Aliados Lordelo carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 44% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Second Division - Zona Centro 2011/2012 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
FC Madalena Clean Sheet 16%
Aliados Lordelo Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Madalena Aliados Lordelo
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 5 11
Draws 6 5
Losses 19 15
Goals Scored 1 1
Goals Conceded 2 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 29, 2012 Second Division - Zona Centro
FC Madalena vs Aliados Lordelo
3:2
Jan 15, 2012 Second Division - Zona Centro
Aliados Lordelo vs FC Madalena
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Madalena 36 / 100
Aliados Lordelo 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Madalena Aliados Lordelo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ALI Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

FC Madalena scored in 60% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: Aliados Lordelo conceded in 74% of 31 recent games.

Aliados Lordelo lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

FC Madalena VS Aliados Lordelo
1 Goals Scored 1
2 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

FC Madalena

(Home)
08 Sept
FC Madalena
0 : 2
Estrela Vendas Novas
11 Sept
Oriental
1 : 0
FC Madalena
27 Sept
FC Barreirense
3 : 0
FC Madalena
29 Apr
FC Madalena
3 : 2
Aliados Lordelo
22 Apr
Tondela
1 : 1
FC Madalena
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Aliados Lordelo

(Away)
10 Sept
Aliados Lordelo
1 : 3
SC Vianense
21 Sept
Oriental
1 : 0
Aliados Lordelo
01 Sept
Aliados Lordelo
3 : 2
Manteigas
21 Oct
Aliados Lordelo
0 : 2
Oliveirense
16 Sept
Aliados Lordelo
2 : 1
Sertanense
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Tondela30196549:2263
2SC Espinho30195650:3262
3Operario30157834:2652
4Boavista301551043:3150
5Amarante FC301310748:3049
6Sao Joao de Ver301541143:4649
7Gondomar301351227:3144
8Cinfaes301271135:4043
9Coimbroes30915630:3142
10Anadia301171245:4240
11Padroense301161347:5039
12Aliados Lordelo301071341:4037
13Oliv. Bairro30771634:5028
14SC Angrense30581736:4923
15Paredes30651930:5023
16FC Madalena30561932:5421
Promotion - Second Division - Zona Centro 2011/2012 (Main)