Sport Picks
FC Madalena vs Olivais e Moscavide
Portugal
Taça de Portugal 2004/2005 
AI Match Summary
FC Madalena in this Taça de Portugal 2004/2005 tie, finishing 5-2. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
21%
15%
64%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Olivais e Moscavide
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
64%
/ High Confidence
- FC Madalena haven't matched Olivais e Moscavide's recent run of results.
- Model gives Olivais e Moscavide a 64% chance of winning this.
- Olivais e Moscavide arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor FC Madalena, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
FC Madalena Clean Sheet 11%
Olivais e Moscavide Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | FC Madalena | Olivais e Moscavide |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 5 | 10 |
| Draws | 5 | 2 |
| Losses | 20 | 18 |
| Goals Scored | 1 | 1.07 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.93 | 1.5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.44 | 1.81 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 4, 2004 Taça de Portugal
FC Madalena vs Olivais e Moscavide
5:2
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
FC Madalena 10 / 100
Olivais e Moscavide 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
FC Madalena Olivais e Moscavide
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Olivais e Moscavide Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Games between these two average 7.00 goals.
FC Madalena's goal record stands at 60% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
Defensive concern: Olivais e Moscavide conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.
FC Madalena went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
FC Madalena VS Olivais e Moscavide
1 Goals Scored 1.75
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
FC Madalena
(Home) 20 Sept
FC Madalena
1 : 3 Lusitania FC
30 Aug
SC Barreiro
2 : 5 FC Madalena
08 Sept
FC Madalena
0 : 2 Estrela Vendas Novas
11 Sept
Oriental
1 : 0 FC Madalena
27 Sept
FC Barreirense
3 : 0 FC Madalena
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
FC Madalena
1 : 3 Lusitania FC
08 Sept
FC Madalena
0 : 2 Estrela Vendas Novas
29 Apr
FC Madalena
3 : 2 Aliados Lordelo
15 Apr
FC Madalena
1 : 3 Sao Joao de Ver
01 Apr
FC Madalena
1 : 3 Anadia
Page 1 of 3
Olivais e Moscavide
(Away) 19 Oct
Lusitano GC
4 : 1 Olivais e Moscavide
21 Sept
Olivais e Moscavide
2 : 0 Uniao Da Serra
14 Sept
Fayal
0 : 5 Olivais e Moscavide
21 Oct
Olivais e Moscavide
1 : 3 Sporting CP
24 Sept
Os Sandinenses
1 : 3 Olivais e Moscavide
Page 1 of 6
19 Oct
Lusitano GC
4 : 1 Olivais e Moscavide
14 Sept
Fayal
0 : 5 Olivais e Moscavide
24 Sept
Os Sandinenses
1 : 3 Olivais e Moscavide
10 Sept
Real SC
1 : 2 Olivais e Moscavide
02 Oct
Valadares Gaia FC
2 : 0 Olivais e Moscavide
Page 1 of 4
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/64-finals
Benfica -
TBD -
FC Felgueiras 1
Oriental 2
Anadia 3
FC Lixa 1
CD Torres Novas 1
AD Oliveirense 4
FC Pampilhosa 3
Penalva do Castelo 1
SB Castelo Branco 1
Fatima 2
Naval 3
Cerveira 0
TBD -
Sporting CP -
SC Espinho -
TBD -
TBD -
AC Almada -
Malveira -
TBD -
TBD -
Santa Clara -
Pacos Ferreira -
TBD -
TBD -
SC Angrense -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Beira Mar -
BSAD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Imortal 1
Casa Pia 0
Famalicao 1
SC Pombal 2
Leca 3
Esmoriz 1
Aljustrelense 1
FC Canedo 3
Estrela Calheta 2
Infesta 0
Varzim 0
Pinhalnovense 2
Penafiel -
TBD -
SC Salgueiros 0
GD Os Nazarenos 1
UD Rio Maior 4
UC Idanhense 3
Torre De Moncorvo 0
Futebol Clube da Maia 1
Louletano 4
Lusitano VRSA 2
Feirense 2
Leixoes 4
Estoril -
TBD -
UD Ovarense 0
Estrela da Amadora 1
Boavista -
TBD -
Abrantes 0
Alverca 1
Oliveirense 4
Santana 2
FC Vialonga 1
SC Vianense 3
Leiria -
TBD -
Olivais e Moscavide 2
FC Madalena 5
Aves 4
Portimonense 1
TBD -
Nacional -
Academica -
TBD -
FC Souropires 1
Almancilense 3
Chaves 4
Amora 0
TBD -
Rio Ave -
Fiaes 2
Camacha 1
Caldas SC 1
Sintrense 3
Real SC 4
Torreense 3
TBD -
Maritimo -
Braga -
TBD -
Olhanense 1
AD Lousada 2
Gil Vicente -
TBD -
Trofense 0
Odivelas FC 1
Moreirense -
TBD -
TBD -
FC Marco -
Sanjoanense 3
Dragoes Sandinenses 1
Juv. Evora 2
Oliveira Hospital 4
Vitoria Guimaraes -
TBD -
TBD -
FC Porto -
Valdevez -
TBD -
Gondomar 1
Aliados Lordelo 2
Academico Viseu 2
Covilha 1
TBD -
Merelinense -
Pedras Rubras 2
U. Madeira 1
TBD -
Vitoria Setubal -
1/32-finals
Benfica 3
Oriental 1
Anadia 0
AD Oliveirense 1
FC Pampilhosa 2
Fatima 1
Naval 1
Sporting CP 3
SC Espinho 3
AC Almada 1
Malveira 1
Santa Clara 2
Pacos Ferreira 2
SC Angrense 1
TBD -
Beira Mar -
BSAD -
TBD -
Imortal 1
SC Pombal 2
Leca 1
FC Canedo 0
Estrela Calheta 0
Pinhalnovense 2
Penafiel 9
GD Os Nazarenos 0
UD Rio Maior 1
Futebol Clube da Maia 3
Louletano 2
Leixoes 1
Estoril 0
Estrela da Amadora 1
Boavista 1
Alverca 0
Oliveirense 2
SC Vianense 4
Leiria 4
FC Madalena 3
Aves 1
Nacional 2
Academica 3
Almancilense 0
Chaves 0
Rio Ave 2
Fiaes 3
Sintrense 1
Real SC 0
Maritimo 5
Braga 2
AD Lousada 0
Gil Vicente 1
Odivelas FC 2
Moreirense 4
FC Marco 1
Sanjoanense 1
Oliveira Hospital 3
Vitoria Guimaraes 2
FC Porto 1
Valdevez 0
Aliados Lordelo 1
Academico Viseu 4
Merelinense 0
Pedras Rubras 0
Vitoria Setubal 2
1/16-finals
Benfica 4
AD Oliveirense 1
FC Pampilhosa 1
Sporting CP 4
SC Espinho 1
Santa Clara 0
Pacos Ferreira 1
Beira Mar 2
BSAD 3
SC Pombal 0
Leca 0
Pinhalnovense 3
Penafiel 3
Futebol Clube da Maia 2
Louletano 0
Estrela da Amadora 1
Boavista 3
SC Vianense 1
Leiria 1
Nacional 2
Academica 2
Rio Ave 0
Fiaes 1
Maritimo 4
Braga 2
Odivelas FC 1
Moreirense 1
Oliveira Hospital 2
Vitoria Guimaraes 2
Aliados Lordelo 0
Academico Viseu 1
Vitoria Setubal 3
1/8-finals
Benfica 4
Sporting CP 3
SC Espinho 5
Beira Mar 6
BSAD 2
Pinhalnovense 1
Penafiel 0
Estrela da Amadora 1
Boavista 4
Nacional 3
Academica 1
Maritimo 2
Braga 1
Oliveira Hospital 0
Vitoria Guimaraes 1
Vitoria Setubal 3
Quarter-finals
Benfica 1
Beira Mar 0
BSAD 0
Estrela da Amadora 1
Boavista 2
Maritimo 0
Braga 2
Vitoria Setubal 3
Semi-finals
Benfica 3
Estrela da Amadora 0
Boavista 1
Vitoria Setubal 2
Final
Benfica 1
Vitoria Setubal 2
