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FC Mamer vs Wiltz

Luxembourg Luxembourg

BGL Ligue 2025/2026
Sun, May 31, 2026
0 - 1
05:00 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

27'
Philipps C.
32'
Rapaille L.
35'
Freire N.

AI Match Summary

Wiltz in this BGL Ligue 2025/2026 tie, finishing 0-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
FC Mamer
15%
Draws
59%
Wiltz
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Wiltz

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Wiltz lately — more wins on the board than FC Mamer.
  • Win probability leans Wiltz's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Wiltz arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Wiltz, who have won 1 of the last 3 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Wiltz have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 39%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
FC Mamer Clean Sheet 12%
Wiltz Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Mamer Wiltz
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 8 13
Draws 4 4
Losses 18 14
Goals Scored 1.07 1.77
Goals Conceded 2.23 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.89 1.71
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 31, 2026 BGL Ligue
FC Mamer vs Wiltz
0:1
Apr 28, 2007 BGL Ligue
FC Mamer vs Wiltz
0:0
Oct 15, 2006 BGL Ligue
Wiltz vs FC Mamer
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Mamer 10 / 100
Wiltz 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Mamer Wiltz

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Wiltz Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Wiltz let in goals in 84% of their last 31 matches.

Attacking prowess: FC Mamer scored in 63% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 0.67 goals.

Recent resilience: FC Mamer stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

FC Mamer VS Wiltz
1.38 Goals Scored 1.8
1.63 Goals Conceded 2.4
75% Over 1.5 60%
50% Over 2.5 40%
38% Over 3.5 40%

Recent Form & Match History

FC Mamer

(Home)
26 Jul
FC Rodange 91
4 : 0
FC Mamer
22 Jul
Dudelange
2 : 0
FC Mamer
21 Jul
FC Mamer
2 : 1
Harlange/Tarchamps
19 Jul
FC Mamer
1 : 2
Ettelbruck
11 Jul
FC Mamer
1 : 6
FC Residence Walferdange
Page 1 of 6

Wiltz

(Away)
09 Aug
Hesperange
2 : 7
Wiltz
01 Aug
Wiltz
1 : 1
Ettelbruck
25 Jul
Wiltz
0 : 9
Eupen
31 May
FC Mamer
0 : 1
Wiltz
04 Mar
Wiltz
0 : 1
Progres Niedercorn
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Final
FC Mamer 0
Wiltz 1
Jeunesse Canach 1
FC Residence Walferdange 2