Sport Picks
Match Events
23'
23'
Moussaki H.
Assist: Agovic E.
50'
50'
Hadji S.
Assist: Stumpf C.
53'
53'
Bresch B.
(Penalty)
AI Match Summary
Dudelange in this BGL Ligue 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 3-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Dudelange.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
36%
20%
44%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Dudelange
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
44%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Dudelange lately — more wins on the board than FC Marisca Mersch.
- Dudelange are the model's pick here, at 50%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
FC Marisca Mersch Clean Sheet 16%
Dudelange Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | FC Marisca Mersch | Dudelange |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 35 |
| Wins | 7 | 21 |
| Draws | 4 | 4 |
| Losses | 20 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.32 | 1.77 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.29 | 1.2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.63 | 1.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 14, 2024 BGL Ligue
FC Marisca Mersch vs Dudelange
3:4
Oct 22, 2023 BGL Ligue
Dudelange vs FC Marisca Mersch
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
FC Marisca Mersch Compare
Top Goalscorer Varela J.
1 Goals Assists Leader Bresch B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81
Dudelange Compare
Top Goalscorer Moussaki H.
2 Goals Assists Leader Hadji S.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
FC Marisca Mersch 23 / 100
Dudelange 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
FC Marisca Mersch Dudelange
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Dudelange Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.
Attacking prowess: FC Marisca Mersch scored in 74% of their last 31 outings.
Dudelange has conceded goals in 69% of their last 35 outings.
Solid form: FC Marisca Mersch remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
FC Marisca Mersch VS Dudelange
1.5 Goals Scored 1.5
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.75
100% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
FC Marisca Mersch
(Home) 26 Jul
Victoria Rosport
1 : 1 FC Marisca Mersch
18 Jul
FC Marisca Mersch
2 : 2 Ettelbruck
09 Nov
Wiltz
6 : 0 FC Marisca Mersch
21 Sept
ALSS Luxembourg
2 : 4 FC Marisca Mersch
18 Jul
FC Marisca Mersch
1 : 5 Bissen
Page 1 of 7
18 Jul
FC Marisca Mersch
2 : 2 Ettelbruck
18 Jul
FC Marisca Mersch
1 : 5 Bissen
18 May
FC Marisca Mersch
1 : 4 Union Titus Petange
05 May
FC Marisca Mersch
2 : 0 Schifflange
28 Apr
FC Marisca Mersch
2 : 3 UNA Strassen
Page 1 of 3
Dudelange
(Away) 30 Aug
Wiltz
1 : 2 Dudelange
23 Aug
Dudelange
3 : 2 Rumelange
16 Aug
Mondorf
1 : 0 Dudelange
09 Aug
Dudelange
0 : 2 UNA Strassen
04 Aug
Bissen
2 : 0 Dudelange
Page 1 of 7
30 Aug
Wiltz
1 : 2 Dudelange
16 Aug
Mondorf
1 : 0 Dudelange
04 Aug
Bissen
2 : 0 Dudelange
26 Jul
Kaerjeng
2 : 0 Dudelange
01 Jul
Differdange
2 : 0 Dudelange
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Differdange | 30 | 19 | 9 | 2 | 70:23 | 66 |
| 2 | Hesperange | 30 | 18 | 7 | 5 | 66:35 | 61 |
| 3 | Dudelange | 30 | 19 | 4 | 7 | 59:36 | 61 |
| 4 | Progres Niedercorn | 30 | 16 | 7 | 7 | 54:35 | 55 |
| 5 | Jeunesse Esch | 30 | 13 | 6 | 11 | 51:41 | 45 |
| 6 | UNA Strassen | 30 | 11 | 11 | 8 | 40:38 | 44 |
| 7 | Victoria Rosport | 30 | 12 | 8 | 10 | 45:44 | 44 |
| 8 | Union Titus Petange | 30 | 11 | 6 | 13 | 48:47 | 39 |
| 9 | Mondorf | 30 | 10 | 8 | 12 | 55:53 | 38 |
| 10 | Racing Luxembourg | 30 | 11 | 5 | 14 | 46:58 | 38 |
| 11 | Wiltz | 30 | 7 | 12 | 11 | 43:52 | 33 |
| 12 | Mondercange | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 33:57 | 32 |
| 13 | Kaerjeng | 30 | 7 | 7 | 16 | 31:49 | 28 |
| 14 | Fola | 30 | 8 | 4 | 18 | 33:61 | 28 |
| 15 | FC Marisca Mersch | 30 | 7 | 5 | 18 | 40:62 | 26 |
| 16 | Schifflange | 30 | 6 | 7 | 17 | 36:59 | 25 |
Promotion - Champions League 2024/2025 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2024/2025 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2024/2025 (Qualification)
Relegation - BGL Ligue 2023/2024 (Relegation)
