Sport Picks
Match Events
29'
29'
Bourigeaud A.
Assist: Abdelkadous B.
33'
33'
Benamra M.
Assist: Bourigeaud A.
45'
45'
Benamra M.
Assist: Simon P.
AI Match Summary
The BGL Ligue 2023/2024 game between FC Marisca Mersch and Mondorf finished 1-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Mondorf.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
29%
20%
51%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Mondorf
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
51%
/ Medium Confidence
- Mondorf carry the better recent record into this one.
- Mondorf are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- Regular BGL Ligue 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Mondorf here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 40%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.8%
FC Marisca Mersch Clean Sheet 16%
Mondorf Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | FC Marisca Mersch | Mondorf |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 31 |
| Wins | 6 | 19 |
| Draws | 4 | 4 |
| Losses | 20 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1.3 | 2.03 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.43 | 1.16 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.52 | 1.44 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 30, 2024 BGL Ligue
FC Marisca Mersch vs Mondorf
1:4
Sep 27, 2023 BGL Ligue
Mondorf vs FC Marisca Mersch
3:2
May 10, 2023 Luxembourg Cup
FC Marisca Mersch vs Mondorf
2:1
Oct 27, 2013 Luxembourg Cup
FC Marisca Mersch vs Mondorf
1:6
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
FC Marisca Mersch Compare
Avg xG / game 1.17
Avg xA / game 0.76
Mondorf Compare
Top Goalscorer Benamra M.
2 Goals Assists Leader Bourigeaud A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
FC Marisca Mersch 10 / 100
Mondorf 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
FC Marisca Mersch Mondorf
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Mondorf Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Games between these two average 5.00 goals.
FC Marisca Mersch's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
Mondorf's defensive record shows goals conceded in 74% of 31 matches.
Recent resilience: FC Marisca Mersch stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
FC Marisca Mersch VS Mondorf
1.67 Goals Scored 0.88
2 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 50%
67% Over 2.5 38%
67% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
FC Marisca Mersch
(Home) 20 Sept
Sporting Bertrange
3 : 2 FC Marisca Mersch
26 Jul
Victoria Rosport
1 : 1 FC Marisca Mersch
18 Jul
FC Marisca Mersch
2 : 2 Ettelbruck
09 Nov
Wiltz
6 : 0 FC Marisca Mersch
21 Sept
ALSS Luxembourg
2 : 4 FC Marisca Mersch
Page 1 of 6
18 Jul
FC Marisca Mersch
2 : 2 Ettelbruck
18 Jul
FC Marisca Mersch
1 : 5 Bissen
18 May
FC Marisca Mersch
1 : 4 Union Titus Petange
05 May
FC Marisca Mersch
2 : 0 Schifflange
28 Apr
FC Marisca Mersch
2 : 3 UNA Strassen
Page 1 of 3
Mondorf
(Away) 20 Sept
Kischpelt WIlwerwiltz
1 : 10 Mondorf
16 Sept
FC Residence Walferdange
2 : 1 Mondorf
13 Sept
Mondorf
1 : 2 UNA Strassen
06 Sept
Bissen
1 : 2 Mondorf
30 Aug
Mondorf
2 : 1 Progres Niedercorn
Page 1 of 7
20 Sept
Kischpelt WIlwerwiltz
1 : 10 Mondorf
16 Sept
FC Residence Walferdange
2 : 1 Mondorf
06 Sept
Bissen
1 : 2 Mondorf
23 Aug
Jeunesse Esch
1 : 3 Mondorf
09 Aug
Victoria Rosport
2 : 3 Mondorf
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Differdange | 30 | 19 | 9 | 2 | 70:23 | 66 |
| 2 | Hesperange | 30 | 18 | 7 | 5 | 66:35 | 61 |
| 3 | Dudelange | 30 | 19 | 4 | 7 | 59:36 | 61 |
| 4 | Progres Niedercorn | 30 | 16 | 7 | 7 | 54:35 | 55 |
| 5 | Jeunesse Esch | 30 | 13 | 6 | 11 | 51:41 | 45 |
| 6 | UNA Strassen | 30 | 11 | 11 | 8 | 40:38 | 44 |
| 7 | Victoria Rosport | 30 | 12 | 8 | 10 | 45:44 | 44 |
| 8 | Union Titus Petange | 30 | 11 | 6 | 13 | 48:47 | 39 |
| 9 | Mondorf | 30 | 10 | 8 | 12 | 55:53 | 38 |
| 10 | Racing Luxembourg | 30 | 11 | 5 | 14 | 46:58 | 38 |
| 11 | Wiltz | 30 | 7 | 12 | 11 | 43:52 | 33 |
| 12 | Mondercange | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 33:57 | 32 |
| 13 | Kaerjeng | 30 | 7 | 7 | 16 | 31:49 | 28 |
| 14 | Fola | 30 | 8 | 4 | 18 | 33:61 | 28 |
| 15 | FC Marisca Mersch | 30 | 7 | 5 | 18 | 40:62 | 26 |
| 16 | Schifflange | 30 | 6 | 7 | 17 | 36:59 | 25 |
Promotion - Champions League 2024/2025 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2024/2025 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2024/2025 (Qualification)
Relegation - BGL Ligue 2023/2024 (Relegation)
