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FC Mariupol vs FC Poltava

Ukraine Ukraine

Premier League 2018/2019 Volodymyr Boiko Stadium
Sat, Mar 9, 2019
VS
05:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

FC Mariupol host FC Poltava in the Premier League 2018/2019. This shapes up as a tight, low-scoring affair. FC Poltava have shipped 0 goals a game lately, while FC Mariupol have conceded 0.75 and scored 1. Head-to-head, FC Mariupol have won 3 to FC Poltava's 0, with 2 draws. They last met on Mar 9, 2019, ending 0:0. xG projections (1.10 - 0.88) back FC Poltava to edge this. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
FC Mariupol
40%
Draws
29%
FC Poltava
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to FC Poltava lately — more wins on the board than FC Mariupol.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • Regular Premier League 2018/2019 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
FC Mariupol Clean Sheet 20%
FC Poltava Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Mariupol FC Poltava
Matches Played 15 8
Wins 3 4
Draws 3 1
Losses 9 3
Goals Scored 1 0
Goals Conceded 0.75 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 9, 2019 Premier League
FC Mariupol vs FC Poltava
0:0
Sep 29, 2018 Premier League
FC Poltava vs FC Mariupol
0:0
Mar 25, 2017 Persha Liga
FC Poltava vs FC Mariupol
0:2
Aug 19, 2016 Persha Liga
FC Mariupol vs FC Poltava
3:1
May 11, 2016 Persha Liga
FC Poltava vs FC Mariupol
1:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Mariupol 32 / 100
FC Poltava 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Mariupol FC Poltava

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: FC Mariupol scored in 73% of their last 15 outings.

Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.

FC Mariupol has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

FC Poltava let in goals in 50% of their last 8 matches.

Scoring Trends

FC Mariupol VS -
1 Goals Scored 0
0.75 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Shakhtar22183152:957
2Dynamo Kyiv22162440:1150
3Oleksandriya22125531:1941
4Zorya2288628:2032
5Lviv2279619:2030
6FC Mariupol2286824:3330
7Vorskla Poltava22921118:2829
8Desna22841023:2428
9Karpaty (inactive)22561126:3721
10Olimpik Donetsk22481025:3320
11Ch. Odesa22441412:3416
12Arsenal Kiev22331612:4212