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FC Minsk 2 vs Orsha - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Belarus Belarus

Pershaya Liga Stadium FC Minsk, Minsk
Sat, Oct 24, 2026
VS
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

FC Minsk 2 host Orsha in the Pershaya Liga. Little to choose between these two on current form. Orsha have shipped 1.86 goals a game lately, while FC Minsk 2 have conceded 1.86 and scored 1.38. Head-to-head, FC Minsk 2 have won 1 to Orsha's 1, with 1 draws. They last met on Jun 28, 2026, ending 0:4. Model xG sits at 1.88 vs 1.31, favoring FC Minsk 2. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
FC Minsk 2
30%
Draws
47%
Orsha
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Orsha

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

23% / Low Confidence
  • Orsha haven't matched FC Minsk 2's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans FC Minsk 2's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Regular Pershaya Liga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
FC Minsk 2 Clean Sheet 18%
Orsha Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Minsk 2 Orsha
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 10 8
Draws 3 6
Losses 16 15
Goals Scored 1.38 1.28
Goals Conceded 1.86 1.86
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 28, 2026 Pershaya Liga
Orsha vs FC Minsk 2
0:4
Aug 8, 2025 Pershaya Liga
Orsha vs FC Minsk 2
1:1
Apr 5, 2025 Pershaya Liga
FC Minsk 2 vs Orsha
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Minsk 2 40 / 100
Orsha 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Minsk 2 Orsha

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FC Minsk 2 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Orsha conceded in 86% of 29 recent games.

Attacking prowess: FC Minsk 2 scored in 72% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.33 goals when they meet.

Difficult form: Orsha registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

FC Minsk 2 VS Orsha
1.5 Goals Scored 0.88
1.75 Goals Conceded 2.25
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

FC Minsk 2

(Home)
11 Oct
FC Minsk 2
0 : 2
Smorgon
04 Oct
BumProm Gomel
2 : 1
FC Minsk 2
26 Sept
Soligorsk
2 : 0
FC Minsk 2
19 Sept
FC Minsk 2
1 : 1
Osipovichi
13 Sept
FK Lida
3 : 2
FC Minsk 2
Page 1 of 6

Orsha

(Away)
11 Oct
FK Lida
1 : 0
Orsha
03 Oct
Orsha
0 : 0
Niva Dolbizno
26 Sept
SKA-1938 Minsk
5 : 1
Orsha
19 Sept
Orsha
0 : 3
Slutsk
11 Sept
Din. Minsk 2
0 : 0
Orsha
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Slutsk 28 18 6 4 57:28 60
2 Niva Dolbizno 28 18 4 6 72:33 58
3 FK Lida 28 18 3 7 52:43 57
4 SKA-1938 Minsk 28 17 5 6 61:32 56
5 FC Slonim 28 15 5 8 51:33 50
6 Molodechno 27 14 3 10 46:45 45
7 Soligorsk 28 12 7 9 55:45 43
8 BumProm Gomel 28 12 5 11 53:44 41
9 Smorgon 28 10 6 12 35:36 36
10 Ostrovets 28 8 11 9 38:41 35
11 Din. Minsk 2 25 10 5 10 42:37 35
12 Volna Pinsk 28 10 5 13 41:51 35
13 FC Minsk 2 28 9 3 16 37:52 30
14 Orsha 28 7 6 15 28:52 27
15 Uni X Labs 27 6 8 13 25:36 26
16 BATE 2 27 5 7 15 36:61 22
17 FC Gomel 2 28 5 6 17 38:60 21
18 Osipovichi 28 5 5 18 30:68 20
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