Sport Picks

Stadium Background

FC Monheim vs SW Essen - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Germany Germany

Oberliga Niederrhein
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Oberliga Niederrhein matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
FC Monheim
30%
Draws
39%
SW Essen
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: SW Essen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

31% / Low Confidence
  • FC Monheim have won more games recently than SW Essen.
  • Model gives FC Monheim a 31% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
FC Monheim Clean Sheet 16%
SW Essen Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Monheim SW Essen
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 10 9
Draws 6 5
Losses 13 16
Goals Scored 1.59 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.72 2.03
Expected Goals (xG) 2.38 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 2, 2026 Oberliga Niederrhein
FC Monheim vs SW Essen
1:1
Apr 19, 2026 Oberliga Niederrhein
SW Essen vs FC Monheim
0:1
Oct 25, 2025 Oberliga Niederrhein
FC Monheim vs SW Essen
0:0
May 18, 2025 Oberliga Niederrhein
SW Essen vs FC Monheim
3:1
Oct 2, 2024 Oberliga Niederrhein
FC Monheim vs SW Essen
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Monheim 48 / 100
SW Essen 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Monheim SW Essen

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FC Monheim Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

SW Essen's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 30 matches.

Attacking prowess: FC Monheim scored in 79% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

FC Monheim went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

FC Monheim VS SW Essen
2.5 Goals Scored 1.38
1.63 Goals Conceded 2.25
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 50%
75% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

FC Monheim

(Home)
02 Oct
FC Monheim
1 : 1
SW Essen
27 Sept
Scherpenberg
2 : 1
FC Monheim
19 Sept
FC Monheim
1 : 2
Baumberg
13 Sept
FC Monheim
1 : 3
Dusseldorf II
06 Sept
FC Monheim
5 : 0
Holzheim
Page 1 of 6

SW Essen

(Away)
02 Oct
FC Monheim
1 : 1
SW Essen
27 Sept
SW Essen
1 : 3
Juchen-Garzweiler
20 Sept
Solingen-Wald
3 : 2
SW Essen
13 Sept
SW Essen
1 : 1
Uerdingen
06 Sept
Meerbusch
0 : 1
SW Essen
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Schonnebeck 8 7 1 0 31:10 22
2 SSVg Velbert 8 6 0 2 22:13 18
3 Dusseldorf II 8 5 1 2 18:8 16
4 SC St.Tonis 8 4 2 2 17:12 14
5 Baumberg 8 4 2 2 18:16 14
6 Uerdingen 8 4 1 3 19:9 13
7 Sonsbeck 8 3 4 1 14:10 13
8 Juchen-Garzweiler 8 4 1 3 18:18 13
9 Dingden 8 4 1 3 10:11 13
10 Solingen-Wald 8 4 0 4 16:20 12
11 Germania Ratingen 8 2 5 1 14:14 11
12 FC Monheim 8 2 3 3 15:13 9
13 Scherpenberg 8 2 2 4 11:18 8
14 Wuppertaler 8 2 1 5 11:10 7
15 SW Essen 8 1 3 4 11:18 6
16 Buderich 8 1 2 5 10:24 5
17 Holzheim 8 1 1 6 10:28 4
18 Meerbusch 8 0 2 6 5:18 2
Promotion - Regionalliga West 2027/2028 (Main)