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FC Moravia vs Limon Black Star

Costa Rica Costa Rica

Liga de Ascenso 2025/2026
Tue, Feb 3, 2026
VS
09:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

FC Moravia host Limon Black Star in the Liga de Ascenso 2025/2026. This one's hard to separate. Limon Black Star have shipped 1.6 goals a game lately, while FC Moravia have conceded 1.24 and scored 1.31. Past meetings favor FC Moravia slightly — 0-0-5 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 15, 2026, ending 0:0. xG projections (1.20 - 1.00) back Limon Black Star to edge this. The prediction model leans Draw; both defenses could hold firm.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
FC Moravia
25%
Draws
35%
Limon Black Star
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: FC Moravia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

25% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to FC Moravia lately — more wins on the board than Limon Black Star.
  • FC Moravia are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
FC Moravia Clean Sheet 20%
Limon Black Star Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Moravia Limon Black Star
Matches Played 29 10
Wins 9 3
Draws 8 3
Losses 12 5
Goals Scored 1.31 1.2
Goals Conceded 1.24 1.6
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 15, 2026 Liga de Ascenso
Limon Black Star vs FC Moravia
0:0
Feb 3, 2026 Liga de Ascenso
FC Moravia vs Limon Black Star
0:0
Oct 19, 2025 Liga de Ascenso
FC Moravia vs Limon Black Star
0:0
Sep 3, 2025 Liga de Ascenso
Limon Black Star vs FC Moravia
0:0
Apr 13, 2025 Liga de Ascenso
Limon Black Star vs FC Moravia
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Moravia 36 / 100
Limon Black Star 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Moravia Limon Black Star

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: FC Moravia scored in 69% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 0.00 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: FC Moravia stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

FC Moravia VS Limon Black Star
1.13 Goals Scored 0
1.25 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

FC Moravia

(Home)
19 Sept
Guadalupe
0 : 3
FC Moravia
15 Sept
Pitbulls
3 : 2
FC Moravia
05 Sept
FC Moravia
1 : 2
Santa Ana
29 Aug
CS Uruguay
1 : 0
FC Moravia
21 Aug
FC Moravia
0 : 1
Cariari Pococi
Page 1 of 6

Limon Black Star

(Away)

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 ADR Jicaral 14 9 3 2 25:12 30
2 Inter San Carlos 14 8 4 2 25:14 28
3 Quepos FC 14 9 1 4 30:21 28
4 Santa Cruz 14 4 5 5 19:17 17
5 Grecia 14 4 5 5 16:18 17
6 AD Sarchi 14 4 5 5 19:23 17
7 Cofutpa 14 2 4 8 14:27 10
8 Dep. Upala 14 0 5 9 15:31 5
9 Municipal Turrialba 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Liga de Ascenso 2025/2026 (Clausura - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Escorpiones 14 10 2 2 33:10 32
2 CS Uruguay 14 7 2 5 25:20 23
3 Pitbulls 14 6 4 4 20:16 22
4 FC Moravia 14 5 4 5 19:19 19
5 Cariari Pococi 14 3 6 5 19:23 15
6 Aserri 14 2 8 4 15:28 14
7 Santa Ana 13 3 3 7 19:28 12
8 Carmelita 13 2 5 6 10:16 11
9 Limon Black Star 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Liga de Ascenso 2025/2026 (Clausura - Play Offs)