Sport Picks
Match Events
43'
43'
Damo P.
85'
85'
Eberle N.
87'
87'
Messina S.
AI Match Summary
FC Morbio in this Swiss Cup 2025/2026 tie, finishing 2-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
41%
15%
44%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Gossau
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
44%
/ Low Confidence
- Gossau have won more games recently than FC Morbio.
- Gossau are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- Gossau arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor FC Morbio, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 80%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
FC Morbio Clean Sheet 12%
Gossau Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | FC Morbio | Gossau |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 4 | 29 |
| Wins | 1 | 7 |
| Draws | 0 | 4 |
| Losses | 3 | 18 |
| Goals Scored | 0.5 | 1.41 |
| Goals Conceded | 5.5 | 2.34 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.69 | 1.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 16, 2025 Swiss Cup
FC Morbio vs Gossau
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
FC Morbio Compare
Top Goalscorer Damo P.
1 Goals Assists Leader Messina S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84
Gossau Compare
Top Goalscorer Eberle N.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
FC Morbio 10 / 100
Gossau 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
FC Morbio Gossau
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Gossau Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Gossau conceded in 90% of 29 recent games.
H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.
Gossau lost 3 of their last 5 games.
FC Morbio's goal record stands at 25% scoring rate across 4 recent games.
Scoring Trends
FC Morbio VS Gossau
1 Goals Scored 1
2.5 Goals Conceded 2.38
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
FC Morbio
(Home) 20 Sept
FC Morbio
0 : 4 Rapperswil-Jona
16 Aug
FC Morbio
2 : 1 Gossau
23 Mar
FC Morbio
0 : 10 Lugano
31 Oct
FC Morbio
0 : 7 Chiasso
20 Sept
FC Morbio
0 : 4 Rapperswil-Jona
16 Aug
FC Morbio
2 : 1 Gossau
23 Mar
FC Morbio
0 : 10 Lugano
31 Oct
FC Morbio
0 : 7 Chiasso
Gossau
(Away) 14 Aug
Eschen/Mauren
1 : 2 Gossau
09 Aug
Gossau
0 : 0 Freienbach
31 Jul
Baden
2 : 0 Gossau
16 Aug
FC Morbio
2 : 1 Gossau
01 Feb
A. Lustenau
4 : 1 Gossau
Page 1 of 6
14 Aug
Eschen/Mauren
1 : 2 Gossau
31 Jul
Baden
2 : 0 Gossau
16 Aug
FC Morbio
2 : 1 Gossau
01 Feb
A. Lustenau
4 : 1 Gossau
18 May
Linth
3 : 1 Gossau
Page 1 of 4
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
Vernier 0
Echallens 1
Veyrier-Sports 0
Lausanne Ouchy 2
Harkingen 2
Schaffhausen 3
SV Schaffhausen 0
Winterthur 5
Zug 1
Mendrisio 0
Breitenrain 1
Thun 0
Breitenbach 0
Bosna Neuchatel 5
Perlen-Buchrain 0
Luzern 3
Romanshorn 2
Altstatten 4
Cham 3
Lugano 2
SC Nebikon 0
Bellinzona 4
Lachen/Altendorf 0
Grasshoppers 2
Wohlen 1
Aarau 3
Courtetelle 1
Young Boys 4
FC Lommiswil 1
Prishtina Bern 4
Ajoie-Monterri 0
Sion 2
La Tour Le Paquier 0
Stade Nyonnais 4
Wettswil-Bonstetten 0
Zurich 2
Unterstrass 5
Klingnau 4
Diaspora 2
Xamax 3
Stade Payerne 1
Yverdon 3
Dardania Lausanne 0
Servette 5
Azzurri Bienne 0
Concordia 8
Vevey 1
Lausanne 2
FC Morbio 2
Gossau 1
Volketswil 0
Rapperswil-Jona 8
Kriens 2
Wil 3
Walenstadt 0
St. Gallen 13
CS Le Locle 2
FC Saxon-Sports 1
La Sarraz-Eclepens 1
Grand-Saconnex 4
Bernex 0
Etoile-Carouge 3
Biel 1
Basel 6
1/16-finals
Echallens 0
Lausanne Ouchy 1
Schaffhausen 0
Winterthur 4
Zug 1
Breitenrain 0
Bosna Neuchatel 0
Luzern 6
Altstatten 0
Cham 3
Bellinzona 0
Grasshoppers 1
Aarau 1
Young Boys 0
Prishtina Bern 0
Sion 2
Stade Nyonnais 2
Zurich 1
Unterstrass 0
Xamax 5
Yverdon 1
Servette 0
Concordia 1
Lausanne 4
FC Morbio 0
Rapperswil-Jona 4
Wil 1
St. Gallen 2
CS Le Locle 3
Grand-Saconnex 4
Etoile-Carouge 2
Basel 3
1/8-finals
Lausanne Ouchy 1
Winterthur 0
Zug 1
Luzern 4
Cham 1
Grasshoppers 2
Aarau 1
Sion 3
Stade Nyonnais 1
Xamax 2
Yverdon 2
Lausanne 1
Rapperswil-Jona 1
St. Gallen 2
Grand-Saconnex 1
Basel 3
Quarter-finals
Lausanne Ouchy 2
Luzern 1
Grasshoppers 4
Sion 3
Xamax 1
Yverdon 2
St. Gallen 2
Basel 1
Semi-finals
Lausanne Ouchy 2
Grasshoppers 0
Yverdon 0
St. Gallen 2
Final
Lausanne Ouchy 0
St. Gallen 3
