Sport Picks

Stadium Background

FC Naples vs Portland Hearts of Pine

USA USA

USL League One Paradise Coast Sports Complex
Our Tip

Match Events

12'
Drack J.
45' Event
Garcia C.
Assist: Cisneros J.
48' Event
Faye S.
Assist: Camara A.

AI Match Summary

Portland Hearts of Pine in this USL League One matchup, with the score ending 2-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Portland Hearts of Pine.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
FC Naples
30%
Draws
34%
Portland Hearts of Pine
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: FC Naples

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Portland Hearts of Pine haven't matched FC Naples's recent run of results.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on FC Naples taking it.
  • Regular USL League One form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
FC Naples Clean Sheet 10%
Portland Hearts of Pine Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Naples Portland Hearts of Pine
Matches Played 32 29
Wins 11 10
Draws 3 7
Losses 18 12
Goals Scored 1 2
Goals Conceded 2.25 2.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.25 2.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 3, 2026 USL League One
FC Naples vs Portland Hearts of Pine
2:3
Apr 19, 2026 USL League One
Portland Hearts of Pine vs FC Naples
1:1
Sep 21, 2025 USL League One
Portland Hearts of Pine vs FC Naples
1:0
May 17, 2025 USL League One
Portland Hearts of Pine vs FC Naples
2:1
Mar 29, 2025 USL League One
FC Naples vs Portland Hearts of Pine
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FC Naples Compare

Top Goalscorer Garcia C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ferrin A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Portland Hearts of Pine Compare

Top Goalscorer Faye S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gonzalez D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Naples 34 / 100
Portland Hearts of Pine 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Naples Portland Hearts of Pine

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Portland Hearts of Pine's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 29 matches.

FC Naples's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Away concern: Portland Hearts of Pine has suffered 2 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

FC Naples VS Portland Hearts of Pine
1 Goals Scored 2
2.25 Goals Conceded 2.5
63% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 63%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1One Knoxville15103228:1333
2Union Omaha16101525:1831
3Charlotte Independence1493234:1830
4Athletic Club Boise1783625:2427
5Forward Madison1482426:1426
6AV Alta FC1767423:1925
7Fort Wayne1566321:1424
8Spokane Velocity1572617:2123
9Chattanooga Red Wolves1371523:1522
10Portland Hearts of Pine1655625:2620
11Sarasota Paradise18531017:2818
12Corpus Christi FC1646620:2618
13FC Naples17521018:2717
14Westchester SC1542923:2314
15Greenville Triumph1342714:2114
16Richmond Kickers1533912:2812
17New York Cosmos14311017:3310