Sport Picks

Stadium Background

FC Naples vs Union Omaha

USA USA

USL League One Paradise Coast Sports Complex, Naples, FL
Our Tip

Match Events

3'
Ciss O.
30'
Mastrantonio L.
40' Event
Likulia N.

AI Match Summary

The USL League One game between FC Naples and Union Omaha finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward FC Naples.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
FC Naples
20%
Draws
47%
Union Omaha
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Union Omaha

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Union Omaha carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Union Omaha a 47% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
FC Naples Clean Sheet 10%
Union Omaha Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Naples Union Omaha
Matches Played 27 28
Wins 8 16
Draws 2 4
Losses 17 8
Goals Scored 1.04 1.79
Goals Conceded 1.78 1.32
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 26, 2026 USL League One
FC Naples vs Union Omaha
2:0
May 31, 2026 USL League One
Union Omaha vs FC Naples
2:1
Nov 1, 2025 USL League One
FC Naples vs Union Omaha
1:0
Oct 5, 2025 USL League One
Union Omaha vs FC Naples
2:1
May 25, 2025 USL League One
FC Naples vs Union Omaha
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FC Naples Compare

Top Goalscorer Likulia N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ferrin A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Union Omaha Compare

Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Naples 10 / 100
Union Omaha 75 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Naples Union Omaha

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Union Omaha Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Union Omaha's defensive record shows goals conceded in 82% of 28 matches.

FC Naples's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 27 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: FC Naples stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

FC Naples VS Union Omaha
1.13 Goals Scored 2
1.75 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

FC Naples

(Home)
11 Sept
One Knoxville
0 : 0
FC Naples
05 Sept
FC Naples
0 : 2
Athletic Club Boise
29 Aug
Greenville Triumph
4 : 0
FC Naples
26 Aug
FC Naples
2 : 0
Union Omaha
23 Aug
AV Alta FC
1 : 2
FC Naples
Page 1 of 6

Union Omaha

(Away)
16 Sept
Union Omaha
3 : 1
Spokane Velocity
13 Sept
Corpus Christi FC
1 : 2
Union Omaha
06 Sept
Union Omaha
2 : 0
Charlotte Independence
30 Aug
Union Omaha
1 : 1
New York Cosmos
26 Aug
FC Naples
2 : 0
Union Omaha
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Charlotte Independence 27 17 5 5 63:39 56
2 Union Omaha 27 17 4 6 48:29 55
3 Forward Madison 27 15 6 6 50:26 51
4 One Knoxville 26 13 8 5 43:29 47
5 Athletic Club Boise 26 13 6 7 41:35 45
6 Chattanooga Red Wolves 26 13 4 9 47:38 43
7 Spokane Velocity 23 12 3 8 34:31 39
8 Fort Wayne 25 10 6 9 39:33 36
9 Corpus Christi FC 26 8 9 9 30:36 33
10 AV Alta FC 28 8 8 12 34:40 32
11 Portland Hearts of Pine 27 7 9 11 39:46 30
12 FC Naples 25 8 3 14 27:41 27
13 Sarasota Paradise 25 7 6 12 27:39 27
14 Westchester SC 26 7 5 14 44:44 26
15 Greenville Triumph 25 6 5 14 29:42 23
16 New York Cosmos 25 6 4 15 31:50 22
17 Richmond Kickers 26 5 5 16 25:53 20
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