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FC Nikopol vs Fenix Mariupol

Ukraine Ukraine

Druha Liga 2021/2022
Sun, Apr 17, 2022
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

FC Nikopol host Fenix Mariupol in the Druha Liga 2021/2022. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Recent numbers: FC Nikopol at 0.82 goals for, 2.12 against; Fenix Mariupol at 1.6 for, 1.13 against. Head-to-head, FC Nikopol have won 0 to Fenix Mariupol's 3, with 1 draws. They last met on Apr 17, 2022, ending 0:0. xG projections (0.79 - 1.30) back Fenix Mariupol to edge this. The model calls this a Draw — both sides look evenly matched.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
FC Nikopol
20%
Draws
80%
Fenix Mariupol
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Fenix Mariupol

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Fenix Mariupol come out ahead of FC Nikopol on wins alone.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on FC Nikopol taking it.
  • Regular Druha Liga 2021/2022 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Fenix Mariupol here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
FC Nikopol Clean Sheet 19%
Fenix Mariupol Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Nikopol Fenix Mariupol
Matches Played 17 40
Wins 4 16
Draws 3 11
Losses 10 13
Goals Scored 0.82 1.6
Goals Conceded 2.12 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 0.79 1.30
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 17, 2022 Druha Liga
FC Nikopol vs Fenix Mariupol
0:0
Sep 25, 2021 Druha Liga
Fenix Mariupol vs FC Nikopol
5:0
May 29, 2021 Druha Liga
FC Nikopol vs Fenix Mariupol
2:4
Mar 23, 2021 Druha Liga
Fenix Mariupol vs FC Nikopol
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Nikopol 36 / 100
Fenix Mariupol 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Nikopol Fenix Mariupol

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.25 goals.

Fenix Mariupol let in goals in 73% of their last 40 matches.

FC Nikopol found the back of the net in 53% of recent matches (17 games).

Difficult form: Fenix Mariupol registered 1 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Fenix Mariupol
0 Goals Scored 1.5
0 Goals Conceded 0.38
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

FC Nikopol

(Home)
27 Nov
Tavriya
2 : 1
FC Nikopol
21 Nov
FC Nikopol
0 : 1
Real Pharma Odesa
13 Nov
Trostyanets
2 : 1
FC Nikopol
06 Nov
FC Nikopol
0 : 6
MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya
30 Oct
FK Balkany
5 : 0
FC Nikopol
Page 1 of 4

Fenix Mariupol

(Away)
27 Sept
Oleksandriya
1 : 1
Fenix Mariupol
20 Sept
Fenix Mariupol
2 : 1
Zhytomyr 2
13 Sept
Probiy Horodenka
0 : 2
Fenix Mariupol
09 Sept
Fenix Mariupol
0 : 2
Zorya
05 Sept
Fenix Mariupol
1 : 1
Kulikiv
Page 1 of 8

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Karpaty Lviv 18 16 0 2 46:7 48
2 Livyi Bereg 19 15 1 3 47:14 46
3 LNZ Cherkasy 17 13 2 2 36:9 41
4 Dinaz Vyshgorod 19 13 1 5 33:18 40
5 Epitsentr 19 12 1 6 30:19 37
6 Munkacs Mukacheve 19 8 5 6 25:24 29
7 Karpaty Halych 18 7 4 7 23:23 25
8 Nyva Vinnytsya 17 7 4 6 29:20 25
9 Bukovyna 18 6 5 7 20:17 23
10 FC Chernihiv 18 5 5 8 17:24 20
11 Dnipro Cherkasy 18 5 2 11 24:32 17
12 Chaika Petropavlivska Borshchahivka 19 3 6 10 16:40 15
13 Rubikon Kyiv 19 4 2 13 12:38 14
14 AFSC Kyiv 19 1 5 13 8:38 8
15 Liubomyr Stavyshche 19 1 1 17 8:51 4
Promotion - Persha Liga 2022/2023 (Main)
Promotion - Persha Liga 2022/2023 (Main)
Promotion - Persha Liga 2022/2023 (Main)
Promotion - Persha Liga 2022/2023 (Main)
Promotion - Persha Liga 2022/2023 (Main)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya 19 13 6 0 34:7 45
2 Skoruk Tomakovka 20 12 5 3 33:14 41
3 FK Balkany 20 10 9 1 34:14 39
4 Peremoga Dnipro 20 12 3 5 34:14 39
5 Tavriya 19 9 6 4 28:19 33
6 SC Poltava 20 9 4 7 29:27 31
7 Trostyanets 19 9 4 6 34:29 31
8 MFK Mykolaiv 17 8 6 3 35:24 30
9 FC Vovchansk 20 7 6 7 27:25 27
10 Victoria 19 8 3 8 22:23 27
11 Fenix Mariupol 20 6 6 8 36:29 24
12 FC Nikopol 20 5 5 10 22:42 20
13 Nova Kakhovka 20 5 2 13 20:40 17
14 Real Pharma Odesa 20 4 2 14 22:49 14
15 Krystal 20 2 3 15 19:36 9
16 FC Sumy 19 1 2 16 16:53 5
Promotion - Persha Liga 2022/2023 (Main)
Promotion - Persha Liga 2022/2023 (Main)
Promotion - Persha Liga 2022/2023 (Main)
Promotion - Persha Liga 2022/2023 (Main)
Promotion - Persha Liga 2022/2023 (Main)