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FC Normannia Gmund vs Mutschelbach

Germany Germany

Oberliga Baden-Württemberg 2023/2024
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

FC Normannia Gmund play Mutschelbach in the Oberliga Baden-Württemberg 2023/2024. It looks like a close match. Recently, FC Normannia Gmund averaged 1.77 goals scored and 1.55 conceded. Mutschelbach averaged 1.8 goals scored and 2.33 conceded. In past meetings, FC Normannia Gmund won 1, Mutschelbach won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Apr 6, 2024 ended 6:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.48 for FC Normannia Gmund and 1.44 for Mutschelbach. This points to a Mutschelbach double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
FC Normannia Gmund
32%
Draws
34%
Mutschelbach
Draw rate projection: 32% Favored: Mutschelbach

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

68% / Medium Confidence
  • FC Normannia Gmund picked up more points recently compared to Mutschelbach.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.48 vs 1.44 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 75%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 75%
Over 3.5 Goals 45%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
FC Normannia Gmund Clean Sheet 16%
Mutschelbach Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 85%
Second Half Goal 89%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Normannia Gmund Mutschelbach
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 9 9
Draws 11 9
Losses 11 12
Goals Scored 1.77 1.8
Goals Conceded 1.55 2.33

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 6, 2024 Oberliga Baden-Württemberg
FC Normannia Gmund vs Mutschelbach
6:0
Sep 23, 2023 Oberliga Baden-Württemberg
Mutschelbach vs FC Normannia Gmund
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FC Normannia Gmund Compare

Top Goalscorer Aschauer A.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Gnaase M.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Mutschelbach Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Normannia Gmund 34 / 100
Mutschelbach 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Normannia Gmund Mutschelbach

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Mutschelbach or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +30.9%
3.85
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +8.7%
1.45
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

FC Normannia Gmund attacking → ← attacking Mutschelbach

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FC Normannia Gmund scored in 87% of their last 31 games.

Mutschelbach let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

FC Normannia Gmund went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Mutschelbach lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

38 Points in last 5 36
1.75 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
1.88 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1FC 08 Villingen34226684:4072
2Goppinger34209571:3769
3Sonnenhof Grossaspach34208677:2768
41. CfR Pforzheim341810679:4664
5FC Nottingen34179876:4160
6Hollenbach341471361:6849
7FC Normannia Gmund341391246:4348
8TSV Essingen341371445:5246
9VfR Mannheim341341746:5943
10Oberachern3410121252:6242
11Backnang341191444:5642
12Mutschelbach3410111367:8341
13Ravensburg349131250:6040
14Bietigheim-Bissingen341161756:6039
15Reutlingen341071756:6337
16Holzhausen FC341061847:6036
17Denzlingen341061846:7636
18Offenburger34352635:10514