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FC Orania Vianden vs Ettelbruck

Luxembourg Luxembourg

Luxembourg Cup 2023/2024
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

FC Orania Vianden play Ettelbruck in the Luxembourg Cup 2023/2024. Ettelbruck are favorites here. Recently, FC Orania Vianden averaged 1 goals scored and 3.55 conceded. Ettelbruck averaged 1.52 goals scored and 2.52 conceded. In past meetings, FC Orania Vianden won 0, Ettelbruck won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Oct 1, 2023 ended 0:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.83 for FC Orania Vianden and 2.27 for Ettelbruck. This points to a Ettelbruck double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
FC Orania Vianden
15%
Draws
66%
Ettelbruck
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ettelbruck

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

92% / Very High Confidence
  • FC Orania Vianden picked up more points recently compared to Ettelbruck.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.83 vs 2.27 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 93%
Over 2.5 Goals 80%
Over 3.5 Goals 48%
Over 4.5 Goals 24%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 54%
FC Orania Vianden Clean Sheet 10%
Ettelbruck Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 84%
Second Half Goal 88%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Orania Vianden Ettelbruck
Matches Played 11 29
Wins 1 7
Draws 0 4
Losses 10 18
Goals Scored 1 1.52
Goals Conceded 3.55 2.52
Expected Goals (xG) 1.67 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.67 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 1, 2023 Luxembourg Cup
FC Orania Vianden vs Ettelbruck
0:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Orania Vianden 19 / 100
Ettelbruck 61 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Orania Vianden Ettelbruck

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ettelbruck Win (2)
Secondary Pick Ettelbruck & Over 2.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +72.7%
9.09
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +8%
1.35
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

FC Orania Vianden attacking → ← attacking Ettelbruck

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FC Orania Vianden scored in 55% of their last 11 games.

Ettelbruck let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

FC Orania Vianden went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Ettelbruck lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

3 Points in last 5 25
1.67 Goals expected (xG) 1.88
2.67 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.00