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FC OSS '20 vs Baronie - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Netherlands Netherlands

Derde Divisie 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
van Tiem B.
17' Event
Oztoprak S.
23' Event
Bortolotti F.

AI Match Summary

The Derde Divisie 2023/2024 game between FC OSS '20 and Baronie finished 3-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Baronie.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
FC OSS '20
15%
Draws
59%
Baronie
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Baronie

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • FC OSS '20 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Baronie are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors FC OSS '20 here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
FC OSS '20 Clean Sheet 10%
Baronie Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC OSS '20 Baronie
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 4
Draws 5 2
Losses 16 24
Goals Scored 1.43 1
Goals Conceded 2.13 3
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 2.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 18, 2024 Derde Divisie
FC OSS '20 vs Baronie
3:4
Dec 10, 2023 Derde Divisie
Baronie vs FC OSS '20
0:1
Jan 22, 2023 Derde Divisie
FC OSS '20 vs Baronie
1:0
Aug 28, 2022 Derde Divisie
Baronie vs FC OSS '20
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FC OSS '20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Oztoprak S.
2 Goals
Assists Leader van Tiem B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.58
Avg xA / game 1.03

Baronie Compare

Top Goalscorer Bortolotti F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Vermeulen D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.27
Avg xA / game 1.39

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC OSS '20 18 / 100
Baronie 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC OSS '20 Baronie

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Baronie Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Baronie's defensive record shows goals conceded in 97% of 30 matches.

FC OSS '20 scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

FC OSS '20 has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

FC OSS '20 VS Baronie
0.75 Goals Scored 1.75
3.25 Goals Conceded 3.38
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 88%
63% Over 3.5 88%

Recent Form & Match History

FC OSS '20

(Home)
25 May
GVV Unitas
1 : 3
FC OSS '20
18 May
FC OSS '20
3 : 4
Baronie
11 May
HSV Hoek
2 : 0
FC OSS '20
05 May
Gemert
5 : 1
FC OSS '20
21 Apr
FC OSS '20
1 : 5
OJC Rosmalen
Page 1 of 6

Baronie

(Away)
04 Aug
VV Kloetinge
2 : 2
Baronie
03 Jul
Baronie
0 : 5
NAC Breda
25 May
Baronie
2 : 1
HSV Hoek
18 May
FC OSS '20
3 : 4
Baronie
12 May
Baronie
3 : 4
Gemert
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 RKAV Volendam 34 21 3 10 92:53 66
2 IJsselmeervogels 34 19 6 9 72:43 63
3 Genemuiden 34 16 11 7 68:40 59
4 USV Hercules 34 17 6 11 63:43 57
5 Sparta Nijkerk 34 18 2 14 81:66 56
6 Harkemase Boys 34 14 12 8 62:47 54
7 VV DOVO 34 14 10 10 62:45 52
8 HSC '21 34 14 10 10 60:53 52
9 DVS '33 Ermelo 34 14 6 14 61:42 48
10 Rijnvogels 34 14 6 14 60:62 48
11 Eemdijk 34 13 9 12 57:62 48
12 VVSB 34 14 5 15 62:67 47
13 DEM 34 14 5 15 49:54 47
14 Urk 34 12 9 13 56:73 45
15 Staphorst 34 13 5 16 56:64 44
16 VV Hoogeveen 34 10 3 21 45:87 33
17 Kampong 34 6 7 21 44:70 25
18 ODIN '59 34 3 5 26 29:108 14
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2024/2025 (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2023/2024 (Relegation)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2023/2024 (Relegation)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2023/2024 (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie 2023/2024 (Relegation)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Barendrecht 34 22 5 7 76:37 71
2 SteDoCo 34 20 9 5 70:32 69
3 Blauw Geel 34 20 7 7 67:35 67
4 TEC 34 17 10 7 67:33 61
5 Sportlust 34 18 7 9 56:36 61
6 Gemert 34 17 7 10 64:62 58
7 Meerssen 34 16 8 10 71:52 56
8 TOGB 34 16 2 16 47:43 50
9 HSV Hoek 34 13 8 13 73:53 47
10 UNA 34 13 8 13 50:46 47
11 HV & CV Quick 34 15 2 17 62:64 47
12 VV Kloetinge 34 13 8 13 45:48 47
13 OJC Rosmalen 34 8 12 14 55:70 36
14 FC OSS '20 34 10 6 18 47:70 36
15 AWC 34 8 7 19 28:66 30
16 GVV Unitas 34 8 5 21 40:64 29
17 Groene Ster 34 7 5 22 29:79 26
18 Baronie 34 6 2 26 34:91 20
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2024/2025 (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2023/2024 (Relegation)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2023/2024 (Relegation)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2023/2024 (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie 2023/2024 (Relegation)