Sport Picks

Stadium Background

FC OSS '20 vs Sportlust

Netherlands Netherlands

Derde Divisie 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

57' Event
Monteiro S.

AI Match Summary

The Derde Divisie 2023/2024 game between FC OSS '20 and Sportlust finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sportlust.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
FC OSS '20
15%
Draws
69%
Sportlust
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sportlust

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / High Confidence
  • FC OSS '20 haven't matched Sportlust's recent run of results.
  • Sportlust are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Derde Divisie 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
FC OSS '20 Clean Sheet 17%
Sportlust Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC OSS '20 Sportlust
Matches Played 30 35
Wins 9 16
Draws 5 7
Losses 16 12
Goals Scored 1.43 1.74
Goals Conceded 2.13 1.37
Expected Goals (xG) 1.48 1.43
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 2, 2024 Derde Divisie
FC OSS '20 vs Sportlust
0:1
Sep 30, 2023 Derde Divisie
Sportlust vs FC OSS '20
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FC OSS '20 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.74

Sportlust Compare

Top Goalscorer Monteiro S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.79

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC OSS '20 10 / 100
Sportlust 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC OSS '20 Sportlust

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sportlust Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FC OSS '20 scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

Sportlust has conceded goals in 71% of their last 35 outings.

H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.

FC OSS '20 has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Sportlust
0 Goals Scored 1.75
0 Goals Conceded 1.75
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

FC OSS '20

(Home)
25 May
GVV Unitas
1 : 3
FC OSS '20
18 May
FC OSS '20
3 : 4
Baronie
11 May
HSV Hoek
2 : 0
FC OSS '20
05 May
Gemert
5 : 1
FC OSS '20
21 Apr
FC OSS '20
1 : 5
OJC Rosmalen
Page 1 of 6

Sportlust

(Away)
19 Sept
Sportlust
2 : 0
VV DOVO
12 Sept
HVV Hollandia
2 : 4
Sportlust
05 Sept
Sportlust
2 : 2
VV Hoogeveen
01 Sept
Sportlust
3 : 1
Blauw Geel
29 Aug
TEC
1 : 2
Sportlust
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 RKAV Volendam 34 21 3 10 92:53 66
2 IJsselmeervogels 34 19 6 9 72:43 63
3 Genemuiden 34 16 11 7 68:40 59
4 USV Hercules 34 17 6 11 63:43 57
5 Sparta Nijkerk 34 18 2 14 81:66 56
6 Harkemase Boys 34 14 12 8 62:47 54
7 VV DOVO 34 14 10 10 62:45 52
8 HSC '21 34 14 10 10 60:53 52
9 DVS '33 Ermelo 34 14 6 14 61:42 48
10 Rijnvogels 34 14 6 14 60:62 48
11 Eemdijk 34 13 9 12 57:62 48
12 VVSB 34 14 5 15 62:67 47
13 DEM 34 14 5 15 49:54 47
14 Urk 34 12 9 13 56:73 45
15 Staphorst 34 13 5 16 56:64 44
16 VV Hoogeveen 34 10 3 21 45:87 33
17 Kampong 34 6 7 21 44:70 25
18 ODIN '59 34 3 5 26 29:108 14
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2024/2025 (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2023/2024 (Relegation)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2023/2024 (Relegation)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2023/2024 (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie 2023/2024 (Relegation)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Barendrecht 34 22 5 7 76:37 71
2 SteDoCo 34 20 9 5 70:32 69
3 Blauw Geel 34 20 7 7 67:35 67
4 TEC 34 17 10 7 67:33 61
5 Sportlust 34 18 7 9 56:36 61
6 Gemert 34 17 7 10 64:62 58
7 Meerssen 34 16 8 10 71:52 56
8 TOGB 34 16 2 16 47:43 50
9 HSV Hoek 34 13 8 13 73:53 47
10 UNA 34 13 8 13 50:46 47
11 HV & CV Quick 34 15 2 17 62:64 47
12 VV Kloetinge 34 13 8 13 45:48 47
13 OJC Rosmalen 34 8 12 14 55:70 36
14 FC OSS '20 34 10 6 18 47:70 36
15 AWC 34 8 7 19 28:66 30
16 GVV Unitas 34 8 5 21 40:64 29
17 Groene Ster 34 7 5 22 29:79 26
18 Baronie 34 6 2 26 34:91 20
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2024/2025 (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2023/2024 (Relegation)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2023/2024 (Relegation)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2023/2024 (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie 2023/2024 (Relegation)