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FC Ozurgeti vs Skuri Tsalenjikha

Georgia Georgia

Pirveli Liga 2014/2015
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

FC Ozurgeti play Skuri Tsalenjikha in the Pirveli Liga 2014/2015. It looks like a close match. Recently, FC Ozurgeti averaged 1.2 goals scored and 2.33 conceded. Skuri Tsalenjikha averaged 1.16 goals scored and 1.53 conceded. In past meetings, FC Ozurgeti won 0, Skuri Tsalenjikha won 3, and they drew 2. Their last match on Mar 28, 2016 ended 2:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.29 for FC Ozurgeti and 0.86 for Skuri Tsalenjikha. This points to a Skuri Tsalenjikha double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

25%
FC Ozurgeti
30%
Draws
45%
Skuri Tsalenjikha
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Skuri Tsalenjikha

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

78% / High Confidence
  • FC Ozurgeti picked up more points recently compared to Skuri Tsalenjikha.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.29 vs 0.86 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 57%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 73%
Over 2.5 Goals 57%
Over 3.5 Goals 34%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 60%
FC Ozurgeti Clean Sheet 25%
Skuri Tsalenjikha Clean Sheet 11%
First Half Goal 66%
Second Half Goal 69%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Ozurgeti Skuri Tsalenjikha
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 5 8
Draws 6 10
Losses 19 14
Goals Scored 1.2 1.16
Goals Conceded 2.33 1.53

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 28, 2016 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
Skuri Tsalenjikha vs FC Ozurgeti
2:2
Oct 9, 2015 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
FC Ozurgeti vs Skuri Tsalenjikha
0:1
May 8, 2015 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
Skuri Tsalenjikha vs FC Ozurgeti
2:0
Mar 23, 2015 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
FC Ozurgeti vs Skuri Tsalenjikha
1:1
Nov 21, 2014 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
Skuri Tsalenjikha vs FC Ozurgeti
2:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Ozurgeti 28 / 100
Skuri Tsalenjikha 43 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Ozurgeti Skuri Tsalenjikha

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Skuri Tsalenjikha or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +47%
5.88
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11.7%
1.96
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

FC Ozurgeti attacking → ← attacking Skuri Tsalenjikha

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FC Ozurgeti scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Skuri Tsalenjikha let in goals in 72% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

FC Ozurgeti went unbeaten in 0 of their last 5 games.

Skuri Tsalenjikha lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

21 Points in last 5 34
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.63
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.38

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Iberia 199936283592:2587
2Locomotive Tbilisi362151087:4268
3Odishi 1919362061069:4166
4Samgurali361931476:5060
5Chiatura361731653:5254
6Matchakhela361431948:6645
7Sasco Tbilisi361191661:6742
8Chkherimela361242035:7140
9STU Tbilisi361122347:9735
10Adeli Batumi36642637:9422
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Sapovnela Terjola36238564:2877
2Borjomi361661440:4354
3Gagra361561559:4451
4Betlemi Keda361471551:5049
5FC Ozurgeti361391445:6848
6Algeti Marneuli3612111347:3947
7Meshakhte Tkibuli361451757:5547
8Khobi3612111346:4847
9Skuri Tsalenjikha3611131247:5546
10Dinamo Tbilisi 236962142:6833