Sport Picks

Stadium Background

FC Pencin vs Chrastava

Czech Republic Czech Republic

Liberecky KP
Sat, Sep 12, 2026
VS
12:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

FC Pencin host Chrastava in the Liberecky KP. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Recent numbers: FC Pencin at 2.97 goals for, 0.94 against; Chrastava at 2.48 for, 1.86 against. Head-to-head, FC Pencin have won 5 to Chrastava's 0, with 0 draws. They last met on Apr 22, 2026, ending 2:0. xG projections (2.38 - 1.94) back FC Pencin to edge this. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
FC Pencin
20%
Draws
29%
Chrastava
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: FC Pencin

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • FC Pencin carry the better recent record into this one.
  • FC Pencin are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Liberecky KP form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 81%).
  • History favors FC Pencin here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 81%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
FC Pencin Clean Sheet 10%
Chrastava Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Pencin Chrastava
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 23 11
Draws 5 9
Losses 3 9
Goals Scored 2.97 2.48
Goals Conceded 0.94 1.86
Expected Goals (xG) 2.38 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 22, 2026 Liberecky KP
FC Pencin vs Chrastava
2:0
Oct 18, 2025 Liberecky KP
Chrastava vs FC Pencin
1:2
Jun 14, 2025 Liberecky KP
FC Pencin vs Chrastava
4:0
Sep 11, 2024 Liberecky KP
Chrastava vs FC Pencin
1:5
Apr 13, 2024 Liberecky KP
FC Pencin vs Chrastava
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Pencin 83 / 100
Chrastava 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Pencin Chrastava

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FC Pencin Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FC Pencin scored in 94% of their last 31 games.

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Chrastava has conceded goals in 79% of their last 29 outings.

Solid form: FC Pencin remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

FC Pencin VS Chrastava
2.5 Goals Scored 2.38
1.5 Goals Conceded 2.25
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

FC Pencin

(Home)
05 Sept
FC Pencin
6 : 0
SK Vilemov
02 Sept
Jivan Bela
4 : 2
FC Pencin
29 Aug
Semily
0 : 1
FC Pencin
22 Aug
FC Pencin
5 : 1
Lomnice nad Popelkou
15 Aug
Visnova
2 : 1
FC Pencin
Page 1 of 7

Chrastava

(Away)
05 Sept
Chrastava
2 : 2
Semily
02 Sept
Hradek nad Nisou
1 : 0
Chrastava
28 Aug
Lomnice nad Popelkou
1 : 2
Chrastava
22 Aug
Chrastava
2 : 2
Visnova
15 Aug
Zelezny Brod
4 : 0
Chrastava
Page 1 of 6