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FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi vs Fenix Mariupol

Ukraine Ukraine

Persha Liga 2025/2026 Sport Complex Podillia, Khmelnytskyi
Our Tip

Match Events

33'
Chornomorets O.
40'
Rudyuk V.
46'
Sub
Bezruchuk O. In: Perekhodko M.
Out: Bezruchuk O.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Persha Liga 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi
20%
Draws
57%
Fenix Mariupol
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Fenix Mariupol

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi haven't matched Fenix Mariupol's recent run of results.
  • 57% — that's where the model lands on Fenix Mariupol taking it.
  • Regular Persha Liga 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi Clean Sheet 20%
Fenix Mariupol Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi Fenix Mariupol
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 5 10
Draws 7 9
Losses 16 10
Goals Scored 0.86 1.45
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 23, 2026 Persha Liga
FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi vs Fenix Mariupol
0:0
Nov 4, 2025 Persha Liga
Fenix Mariupol vs FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi
0:1
May 17, 2025 Persha Liga
FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi vs Fenix Mariupol
1:2
Apr 13, 2025 Persha Liga
Fenix Mariupol vs FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi
0:2
Feb 20, 2024 Club Friendly
Fenix Mariupol vs FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi 10 / 100
Fenix Mariupol 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi Fenix Mariupol

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Fenix Mariupol Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi found the back of the net in 61% of recent matches (28 games).

Fenix Mariupol has conceded goals in 72% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.

Solid form: FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi VS Fenix Mariupol
1.13 Goals Scored 0.88
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi

(Home)
05 Sept
Dnister Zalishchyky
3 : 2
FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi
29 Aug
FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi
1 : 1
Dinaz Vyshgorod
21 Aug
FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi
1 : 3
Victoria
08 Aug
FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi
2 : 1
Nyva Vinnytsya
01 Aug
Bratslav Vinnytsia
3 : 2
FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi
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Fenix Mariupol

(Away)
09 Sept
Fenix Mariupol
0 : 2
Zorya
05 Sept
Fenix Mariupol
1 : 1
Kulikiv
28 Aug
Lokomotyv Kyiv
1 : 3
Fenix Mariupol
20 Aug
Dinaz Vyshgorod
0 : 6
Fenix Mariupol
16 Aug
Fenix Mariupol
3 : 1
Kolos Kovalivka 2
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bukovyna 30 26 3 1 74:21 81
2 Ch. Odesa 30 19 8 3 44:20 65
3 Livyi Bereg 30 19 6 5 50:21 63
4 Ahrobiznes Volochysk 30 16 5 9 36:28 53
5 Inhulets 30 12 10 8 41:32 46
6 Prykarpattya Ivano-Frankivsk (1998) 30 9 10 11 33:33 37
7 Metalist Kharkiv 30 10 7 13 31:35 37
8 Probiy Horodenka 30 10 6 14 29:37 36
9 Fenix Mariupol 30 9 9 12 31:32 36
10 Victoria 30 10 6 14 37:38 36
11 UCSA 30 10 6 14 30:40 36
12 Nyva Ternopil 30 8 10 12 24:34 34
13 FC Chernihiv 30 8 7 15 30:36 31
14 Vorskla Poltava 30 7 9 14 23:36 30
15 FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi 30 4 9 17 20:45 21
16 MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya 30 4 7 19 16:61 19
17 Minaj 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Premier League (Main)
Promotion - Premier League 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Druha Liga (Main)