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FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi vs Nyva Vinnytsya - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Ukraine Ukraine

Druha Liga Sport Complex Podillia, Khmelnytskyi
Our Tip

Match Events

1' Event
Perekhodko M.
14' Event
Kolchin K.
88' Event
Lys N.

AI Match Summary

FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi in this Druha Liga matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi
20%
Draws
52%
Nyva Vinnytsya
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Nyva Vinnytsya

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Nyva Vinnytsya have won more games recently than FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi.
  • Nyva Vinnytsya are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Regular Druha Liga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi Clean Sheet 13%
Nyva Vinnytsya Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi Nyva Vinnytsya
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 7 15
Draws 6 7
Losses 16 7
Goals Scored 1.1 1.55
Goals Conceded 1.66 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 17, 2026 Druha Liga
Nyva Vinnytsya vs FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi
2:1
Aug 8, 2026 Druha Liga
FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi vs Nyva Vinnytsya
2:1
Jul 12, 2024 Club Friendly
FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi vs Nyva Vinnytsya
3:3
May 1, 2021 Druha Liga
FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi vs Nyva Vinnytsya
2:0
Oct 17, 2020 Druha Liga
Nyva Vinnytsya vs FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi Compare

Top Goalscorer Perekhodko M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Lys N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Nyva Vinnytsya Compare

Top Goalscorer Kolchin K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi 19 / 100
Nyva Vinnytsya 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi Nyva Vinnytsya

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nyva Vinnytsya Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.40 goals per match.

FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Nyva Vinnytsya let in goals in 70% of their last 27 matches.

FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi VS Nyva Vinnytsya
1.75 Goals Scored 1.63
1.75 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 63%
88% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi

(Home)
17 Oct
Nyva Vinnytsya
2 : 1
FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi
10 Oct
FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi
1 : 5
Bratslav Vinnytsia
03 Oct
FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi
1 : 2
FC Vilkhivtsi
25 Sept
Nyva Ternopil 2
1 : 2
FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi
20 Sept
Rukh Lviv
2 : 3
FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi
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Nyva Vinnytsya

(Away)
17 Oct
Nyva Vinnytsya
2 : 1
FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi
11 Oct
Rukh Lviv
1 : 1
Nyva Vinnytsya
03 Oct
Skala 1911
2 : 2
Nyva Vinnytsya
26 Sept
Nyva Vinnytsya
2 : 0
Dnister Zalishchyky
19 Sept
Dinaz Vyshgorod
0 : 1
Nyva Vinnytsya
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bratslav Vinnytsia 10 7 3 0 25:8 24
2 Nyva Vinnytsya 10 5 4 1 17:10 19
3 Dnister Zalishchyky 10 5 3 2 18:14 18
4 FC Vilkhivtsi 10 3 4 3 11:13 13
5 FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi 10 4 1 5 17:21 13
6 Skala 1911 9 3 2 4 12:14 11
7 Nyva Ternopil 2 10 3 2 5 9:16 11
8 Dinaz Vyshgorod 10 1 4 5 13:23 7
9 Rukh Lviv 9 1 1 7 14:17 4
Promotion - Persha Liga 2027/2028 (Main)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Karbon Cherkasy 9 5 3 1 21:10 18
2 Lozova 9 5 1 3 10:9 16
3 SC Poltava 2 10 4 2 4 8:7 14
4 Trostyanets 9 3 4 2 9:6 13
5 MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya 9 3 3 3 11:10 12
6 Atlet Kiev 8 3 3 2 16:12 12
7 Rebel Kyiv 8 3 2 3 15:15 11
8 Oleksandriya 2 10 2 4 4 8:10 10
9 Penuel Kryvyi Rih 10 1 2 7 7:26 5
Promotion - Persha Liga 2027/2028 (Main)