Sport Picks

Stadium Background

FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi vs UCSA

Ukraine Ukraine

Persha Liga 2025/2026 Sport Complex Podillia, Khmelnytskyi
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Savin A.
31' Event
Castro P.
45'
Rudyuk V.

AI Match Summary

The Persha Liga 2025/2026 game between FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi and UCSA finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward UCSA.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi
33%
Draws
40%
UCSA
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: UCSA

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • UCSA carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on UCSA taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • UCSA have won 3 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi Clean Sheet 22%
UCSA Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi UCSA
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 4 11
Draws 8 5
Losses 17 12
Goals Scored 0.38 0.88
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.88
Expected Goals (xG) 0.38 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 15, 2025 Persha Liga
FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi vs UCSA
1:2
Aug 1, 2025 Persha Liga
UCSA vs FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi
1:0
Aug 12, 2024 Ukrainian Cup
FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi vs UCSA
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi Compare

Top Goalscorer Savin A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.29
Avg xA / game 0.19

UCSA Compare

Top Goalscorer Castro P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi 29 / 100
UCSA 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi UCSA

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick UCS Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

UCSA's defensive record shows goals conceded in 75% of 28 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.67 goals per match.

Away concern: UCSA has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi's goal record stands at 55% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi VS UCSA
0.38 Goals Scored 0.88
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.88
63% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi

(Home)
30 May
Vorskla Poltava
1 : 1
FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi
23 May
FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi
0 : 0
Fenix Mariupol
17 May
FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi
1 : 2
Nyva Ternopil
09 May
Metalist Kharkiv
3 : 0
FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi
02 May
FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi
0 : 2
Bukovyna
Page 1 of 6

UCSA

(Away)
10 Jul
Obolon
0 : 0
UCSA
04 Jul
Veres Rivne
3 : 0
UCSA
01 Jun
UCSA
3 : 0
Nyva Ternopil
23 May
Metalist Kharkiv
2 : 0
UCSA
15 May
UCSA
0 : 5
Bukovyna
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Bukovyna30263174:2181
2Ch. Odesa30198344:2065
3Livyi Bereg30196550:2163
4Ahrobiznes Volochysk30165936:2853
5Inhulets301210841:3246
6Prykarpattya Ivano-Frankivsk (1998)309101133:3337
7Metalist Kharkiv301071331:3537
8Probiy Horodenka301061429:3736
9Fenix Mariupol30991231:3236
10Victoria301061437:3836
11UCSA301061430:4036
12Nyva Ternopil308101224:3434
13FC Chernihiv30871530:3631
14Vorskla Poltava30791423:3630
15FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi30491720:4521
16MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya30471916:6119
17Minaj00000:00
Promotion - Premier League (Main)
Promotion - Premier League 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Druha Liga 2025/2026 (Promotion)
Relegation - Druha Liga (Main)