Sport Picks

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FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi vs Victoria

Ukraine Ukraine

Persha Liga 2025/2026 Sport Complex Podillia, Khmelnytskyi
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Shavrin V.
13' Event
Sharay S.
18'
Savchuk P.

AI Match Summary

Victoria in this Persha Liga 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Victoria.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi
20%
Draws
47%
Victoria
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Victoria

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi haven't matched Victoria's recent run of results.
  • 47% — that's where the model lands on Victoria taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi Clean Sheet 16%
Victoria Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi Victoria
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 6 12
Draws 6 6
Losses 16 10
Goals Scored 0.89 1.32
Goals Conceded 1.5 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 21, 2026 Ukrainian Cup
FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi vs Victoria
1:3
Apr 7, 2026 Persha Liga
FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi vs Victoria
1:2
Sep 21, 2025 Persha Liga
Victoria vs FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi
0:0
May 10, 2025 Persha Liga
Victoria vs FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi
0:1
Apr 6, 2025 Persha Liga
FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi vs Victoria
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi Compare

Top Goalscorer Shavrin V.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Victoria Compare

Top Goalscorer Sharay S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Chernov O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi 23 / 100
Victoria 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi Victoria

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Victoria Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi scored in 61% of their last 28 games.

Victoria let in goals in 64% of their last 28 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi VS Victoria
1.38 Goals Scored 1.25
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.75
88% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi

(Home)
12 Sept
FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi
2 : 1
Skala 1911
05 Sept
Dnister Zalishchyky
3 : 2
FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi
29 Aug
FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi
1 : 1
Dinaz Vyshgorod
21 Aug
FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi
1 : 3
Victoria
08 Aug
FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi
2 : 1
Nyva Vinnytsya
Page 1 of 6

Victoria

(Away)
09 Sept
Victoria
0 : 1
Metalist Kharkiv
05 Sept
Victoria
1 : 1
Zhytomyr 2
30 Aug
Probiy Horodenka
0 : 3
Victoria
21 Aug
FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi
1 : 3
Victoria
15 Aug
Victoria
2 : 1
Kulikiv
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bukovyna 30 26 3 1 74:21 81
2 Ch. Odesa 30 19 8 3 44:20 65
3 Livyi Bereg 30 19 6 5 50:21 63
4 Ahrobiznes Volochysk 30 16 5 9 36:28 53
5 Inhulets 30 12 10 8 41:32 46
6 Prykarpattya Ivano-Frankivsk (1998) 30 9 10 11 33:33 37
7 Metalist Kharkiv 30 10 7 13 31:35 37
8 Probiy Horodenka 30 10 6 14 29:37 36
9 Fenix Mariupol 30 9 9 12 31:32 36
10 Victoria 30 10 6 14 37:38 36
11 UCSA 30 10 6 14 30:40 36
12 Nyva Ternopil 30 8 10 12 24:34 34
13 FC Chernihiv 30 8 7 15 30:36 31
14 Vorskla Poltava 30 7 9 14 23:36 30
15 FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi 30 4 9 17 20:45 21
16 MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya 30 4 7 19 16:61 19
17 Minaj 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Premier League (Main)
Promotion - Premier League 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Druha Liga (Main)