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FC Porto U19 vs Moreirense U19 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato Nacional U19
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Ze Afonso
59' Event
Jamanca T.
85' Event
Pina Ribeiro S.

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato Nacional U19 game between FC Porto U19 and Moreirense U19 finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward FC Porto U19.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
FC Porto U19
20%
Draws
33%
Moreirense U19
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: FC Porto U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and FC Porto U19 come out ahead of Moreirense U19 on wins alone.
  • 47% — that's where the model lands on FC Porto U19 taking it.
  • Regular Campeonato Nacional U19 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and FC Porto U19 have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
FC Porto U19 Clean Sheet 20%
Moreirense U19 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Porto U19 Moreirense U19
Matches Played 32 28
Wins 21 9
Draws 6 8
Losses 5 11
Goals Scored 2.56 1.18
Goals Conceded 1.28 1.18
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 22, 2026 Campeonato Nacional U19
FC Porto U19 vs Moreirense U19
3:1
Oct 19, 2025 Campeonato Nacional U19
Moreirense U19 vs FC Porto U19
0:0
Aug 9, 2025 Campeonato Nacional U19
FC Porto U19 vs Moreirense U19
3:0
Dec 30, 2017 Campeonato Nacional U19
FC Porto U19 vs Moreirense U19
3:2
Sep 30, 2017 Campeonato Nacional U19
Moreirense U19 vs FC Porto U19
0:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FC Porto U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Ze Afonso
1 Goals
Assists Leader Jamanca T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Moreirense U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Pina Ribeiro S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Porto U19 85 / 100
Moreirense U19 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Porto U19 Moreirense U19

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FC Porto U19 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: FC Porto U19 scored in 88% of their last 32 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.

Moreirense U19 has conceded goals in 64% of their last 28 outings.

Solid form: FC Porto U19 remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

FC Porto U19 VS Moreirense U19
2.38 Goals Scored 0.88
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 50%
75% Over 2.5 38%
63% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

FC Porto U19

(Home)
10 Oct
Braga U19
2 : 4
FC Porto U19
19 Sept
FC Porto U19
0 : 0
Rio Ave U19
12 Sept
FC Porto U19
4 : 0
Famalicao U19
08 Sept
FC Porto U19
3 : 1
Manchester City U19
05 Sept
Vitoria Guimaraes U19
1 : 0
FC Porto U19
Page 1 of 7

Moreirense U19

(Away)
19 Sept
Moreirense U19
1 : 1
Gil Vicente U19
12 Sept
Braga U19
0 : 1
Moreirense U19
06 Sept
Moreirense U19
1 : 0
Rio Ave U19
29 Aug
Moreirense U19
2 : 3
Famalicao U19
22 Aug
FC Porto U19
3 : 1
Moreirense U19
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC Porto U19 7 5 1 1 17:6 16
2 Vitoria Guimaraes U19 8 4 1 3 8:9 13
3 Rio Ave U19 7 3 2 2 6:4 11
4 Gil Vicente U19 7 3 2 2 5:3 11
5 Braga U19 7 3 1 3 9:9 10
6 Feirense U19 7 3 1 3 5:6 10
7 Famalicao U19 8 2 2 4 8:12 8
8 Academico Viseu U19 6 2 1 3 9:6 7
9 Moreirense U19 6 2 1 3 7:9 7
10 Vizela U19 7 2 0 5 7:17 6
Promotion - Campeonato Nacional U19 (Championship Group)
Relegation - Campeonato Nacional U19 (Relegation Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sporting CP U19 7 5 2 0 12:4 17
2 Benfica U19 6 4 2 0 16:5 14
3 Oriental U19 7 3 2 2 8:7 11
4 Santa Clara U19 6 3 1 2 13:7 10
5 Torreense U19 7 3 1 3 11:10 10
6 Mafra U19 7 2 3 2 7:13 9
7 Casa Pia U19 7 2 2 3 9:9 8
8 Leiria U19 7 1 3 3 7:13 6
9 SC Farense U19 7 1 1 5 8:16 4
10 Alverca U19 7 0 3 4 7:14 3
Promotion - Campeonato Nacional U19 (Championship Group)
Relegation - Campeonato Nacional U19 (Relegation Group)