Sport Picks
FC Porto vs Santa Clara Prediction & H2H Stats
Portugal
Liga Portugal 2025/2026 Estádio do Dragão, Porto 
Match Events
9'
9'
Sub
Tavares J. In: Andrey
Out: Tavares J.
56'
56'
Sub
Sainz B. In: Pietuszewski O.
Out: Sainz B.
56'
56'
Sub
Gul D. In: Veiga G.
Out: Gul D.
AI Match Summary
The Liga Portugal 2025/2026 game between FC Porto and Santa Clara finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward FC Porto.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
42%
20%
38%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: FC Porto
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
42%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and FC Porto come out ahead of Santa Clara on wins alone.
- FC Porto are the model's pick here, at 40%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- These two have met 5 times recently and FC Porto have taken 4 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
FC Porto Clean Sheet 68%
Santa Clara Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | FC Porto | Santa Clara |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 31 |
| Wins | 21 | 14 |
| Draws | 4 | 9 |
| Losses | 5 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1.67 | 1.52 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.73 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.19 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 16, 2026 Liga Portugal
FC Porto vs Santa Clara
1:0
Jan 4, 2026 Liga Portugal
Santa Clara vs FC Porto
0:1
Jan 26, 2025 Liga Portugal
FC Porto vs Santa Clara
1:1
Aug 16, 2024 Liga Portugal
Santa Clara vs FC Porto
0:2
Feb 29, 2024 Taça de Portugal
Santa Clara vs FC Porto
1:2
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
FC Porto 50 / 100
Santa Clara 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
FC Porto Santa Clara
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick FC Porto Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
FC Porto scored in 83% of their last 30 games.
These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.
FC Porto went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Santa Clara has conceded goals in 58% of their last 31 outings.
Scoring Trends
FC Porto VS Santa Clara
1.75 Goals Scored 1.88
0.38 Goals Conceded 0.63
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
FC Porto
(Home) 20 Sept
FC Porto
3 : 1 Benfica
12 Sept
Casa Pia
1 : 4 FC Porto
08 Sept
FC Porto
0 : 2 Manchester City
04 Sept
FC Porto
2 : 1 Moreirense
29 Aug
Academico Viseu
0 : 3 FC Porto
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
FC Porto
3 : 1 Benfica
08 Sept
FC Porto
0 : 2 Manchester City
04 Sept
FC Porto
2 : 1 Moreirense
23 Aug
FC Porto
2 : 0 Arouca
09 Aug
FC Porto
2 : 0 Alverca
Page 1 of 4
Santa Clara
(Away) 20 Sept
Santa Clara
0 : 0 Braga
13 Sept
Arouca
1 : 2 Santa Clara
06 Sept
Santa Clara
4 : 0 Rio Ave
29 Aug
Alverca
1 : 1 Santa Clara
23 Aug
Santa Clara
1 : 0 Famalicao
Page 1 of 7
13 Sept
Arouca
1 : 2 Santa Clara
29 Aug
Alverca
1 : 1 Santa Clara
15 Aug
Academico Viseu
0 : 1 Santa Clara
16 May
FC Porto
1 : 0 Santa Clara
02 May
Arouca
2 : 2 Santa Clara
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Porto | 34 | 28 | 4 | 2 | 66:18 | 88 |
| 2 | Sporting CP | 34 | 25 | 7 | 2 | 89:24 | 82 |
| 3 | Benfica | 34 | 23 | 11 | 0 | 74:25 | 80 |
| 4 | Braga | 34 | 16 | 11 | 7 | 64:36 | 59 |
| 5 | Famalicao | 34 | 15 | 11 | 8 | 42:29 | 56 |
| 6 | Gil Vicente | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 47:38 | 50 |
| 7 | Moreirense | 34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 37:49 | 43 |
| 8 | Arouca | 34 | 12 | 6 | 16 | 47:64 | 42 |
| 9 | Vitoria Guimaraes | 34 | 12 | 6 | 16 | 39:51 | 42 |
| 10 | Estoril | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 54:57 | 39 |
| 11 | Alverca | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 35:52 | 39 |
| 12 | Rio Ave | 34 | 8 | 12 | 14 | 35:57 | 36 |
| 13 | Santa Clara | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 32:41 | 36 |
| 14 | Nacional | 34 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 37:45 | 34 |
| 15 | Estrela da Amadora | 34 | 6 | 12 | 16 | 38:56 | 30 |
| 16 | Casa Pia | 34 | 6 | 12 | 16 | 31:57 | 30 |
| 17 | Tondela | 34 | 6 | 10 | 18 | 27:55 | 28 |
| 18 | AFS | 34 | 3 | 12 | 19 | 27:67 | 21 |
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - Liga Portugal 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Liga Portugal 2 (Main)
Relegation - Liga Portugal 2 (Main)
