Sport Picks

Spain

Tercera Division - Group 13 2009/2010

Futbol Club Jumilla

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

FC Puente Tocinos play Futbol Club Jumilla in the Tercera Division - Group 13 2009/2010. It looks like a close match. Recently, FC Puente Tocinos averaged 1.12 goals scored and 2.03 conceded. Futbol Club Jumilla averaged 1.38 goals scored and 1.14 conceded. In past meetings, FC Puente Tocinos won 0, Futbol Club Jumilla won 2, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jan 17, 2010 ended 0:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.17 for FC Puente Tocinos and 0.68 for Futbol Club Jumilla. This points to a Futbol Club Jumilla double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%

FC Puente Tocinos

17%

Draws

52%

Futbol Club Jumilla

Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Futbol Club Jumilla

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

79% / High Confidence

FC Puente Tocinos picked up more points recently compared to Futbol Club Jumilla.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.17 vs 0.68 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 75%

Over 2.5 Goals 54%

Over 3.5 Goals 32%

Over 4.5 Goals 16%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 44%

FC Puente Tocinos Clean Sheet 28%

Futbol Club Jumilla Clean Sheet 12%

First Half Goal 68%

Second Half Goal 71%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	FC Puente Tocinos	Futbol Club Jumilla
Matches Played	33	37
Wins	9	14
Draws	5	7
Losses	19	16
Goals Scored	1.12	1.38
Goals Conceded	2.03	1.14

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 17, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 13

FC Puente Tocinos vs Futbol Club Jumilla

Possession: 58% - 51% Cards: 0 - 4

0:2

Sep 6, 2009 Tercera RFEF - Group 13

Futbol Club Jumilla vs FC Puente Tocinos

Possession: 40% - 43% Cards: 3 - 3

2:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Puente Tocinos 34 / 100

Futbol Club Jumilla 49 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

FC Puente Tocinos Futbol Club Jumilla

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Futbol Club Jumilla or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +34.8%

4.35

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +12.3%

2.08

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

FC Puente Tocinos attacking → ← attacking Futbol Club Jumilla

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FC Puente Tocinos scored in 61% of their last 33 games.

Futbol Club Jumilla let in goals in 65% of their last 37 matches.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

FC Puente Tocinos went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Futbol Club Jumilla lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

32 Points in last 5 49

0.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.25

0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.13

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Futbol Club Jumilla	38	27	5	6	84:26	86
2	Yeclano	38	26	6	6	93:38	84
3	Lorca Deportiva	38	26	6	6	95:36	84
4	UCAM Murcia	38	26	5	7	82:38	83
5	Cartagena La Union	38	25	6	7	84:40	81
6	Pinatar	38	24	8	6	68:28	80
7	Ciudad Cieza	38	24	8	6	81:33	80
8	CA Pulpileno	38	15	7	16	61:56	52
9	Plus Ultra	38	14	10	14	59:56	52
10	Santomera	38	12	13	13	52:45	49
11	FC Puente Tocinos	38	14	6	18	48:57	48
12	Club Edeco Fortuna	38	13	8	17	50:73	47
13	Cartagena FC UCAM	38	11	10	17	59:55	43
14	Beniel	38	12	6	20	54:71	42
15	Calasparra FC	38	9	9	20	44:70	36
16	Base Abaran	38	8	7	23	26:81	31
17	Bala Azul	38	7	9	22	47:76	30
18	Mazarron CF	38	7	7	24	40:69	28
19	CD Lumbreras	38	5	3	30	28:127	18
20	Jumilla CD	38	3	5	30	31:111	14