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FC Residence Walferdange vs Progres Niedercorn - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Luxembourg Luxembourg

BGL Ligue
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Match Events

43' Event
Hadji S.
Assist: Hoxha F.

AI Match Summary

The BGL Ligue game between FC Residence Walferdange and Progres Niedercorn finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Progres Niedercorn.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
FC Residence Walferdange
15%
Draws
45%
Progres Niedercorn
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Progres Niedercorn

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • FC Residence Walferdange carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Progres Niedercorn's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Regular BGL Ligue form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
FC Residence Walferdange Clean Sheet 16%
Progres Niedercorn Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Residence Walferdange Progres Niedercorn
Matches Played 29 32
Wins 14 11
Draws 0 6
Losses 15 15
Goals Scored 1.93 1.72
Goals Conceded 2.03 1.66
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 9, 2026 BGL Ligue
FC Residence Walferdange vs Progres Niedercorn
0:1
Oct 29, 2023 Luxembourg Cup
FC Residence Walferdange vs Progres Niedercorn
3:5

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FC Residence Walferdange Compare

Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Progres Niedercorn Compare

Top Goalscorer Hadji S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Residence Walferdange 23 / 100
Progres Niedercorn 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Residence Walferdange Progres Niedercorn

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Progres Niedercorn Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.50 goals when they meet.

FC Residence Walferdange scored in 79% of their last 29 games.

Progres Niedercorn's defensive record shows goals conceded in 78% of 32 matches.

Solid form: FC Residence Walferdange remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

FC Residence Walferdange VS Progres Niedercorn
2 Goals Scored 1.63
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.63
88% Over 1.5 63%
88% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

FC Residence Walferdange

(Home)
20 Sept
Grevenmacher
3 : 2
FC Residence Walferdange
16 Sept
FC Residence Walferdange
2 : 1
Mondorf
13 Sept
Hesperange
0 : 3
FC Residence Walferdange
06 Sept
FC Residence Walferdange
0 : 3
UNA Strassen
30 Aug
Ettelbruck
0 : 5
FC Residence Walferdange
Page 1 of 6

Progres Niedercorn

(Away)
20 Sept
FC Kopstal 33
0 : 7
Progres Niedercorn
16 Sept
Progres Niedercorn
0 : 0
Racing Luxembourg
12 Sept
Wiltz
1 : 2
Progres Niedercorn
06 Sept
Progres Niedercorn
3 : 0
Rumelange
30 Aug
Mondorf
2 : 1
Progres Niedercorn
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 UNA Strassen 8 8 0 0 17:2 24
2 Differdange 8 7 0 1 19:5 21
3 Mondorf 8 6 0 2 16:11 18
4 Racing Luxembourg 8 5 2 1 21:8 17
5 Progres Niedercorn 8 5 1 2 13:5 16
6 Kaerjeng 8 5 0 3 23:15 15
7 Bissen 8 5 0 3 18:11 15
8 FC Residence Walferdange 8 5 0 3 16:10 15
9 Hostert 8 3 2 3 14:11 11
10 Jeunesse Esch 8 2 1 5 14:17 7
11 Dudelange 8 2 1 5 8:15 7
12 Rumelange 8 2 0 6 8:23 6
13 Victoria Rosport 8 1 2 5 11:20 5
14 Ettelbruck 8 1 2 5 6:15 5
15 Wiltz 8 1 1 6 14:22 4
16 Hesperange 8 0 0 8 2:30 -12
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - BGL Ligue (Relegation)