Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
FC Rio de Janeiro host Barra Mansa in the Carioca B2 2025. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Barra Mansa have shipped 1.4 goals a game lately, while FC Rio de Janeiro have conceded 2.12 and scored 1.15. Head-to-head, FC Rio de Janeiro have won 2 to Barra Mansa's 1, with 0 draws. They last met on Oct 1, 2026, ending 2:0. The numbers (1.25 xG vs 0.76) point toward Barra Mansa. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Barra Mansa have won more games recently than FC Rio de Janeiro.
- Win probability leans FC Rio de Janeiro's way, sitting at 80%.
- Regular Carioca B2 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- These two have met 3 times recently and FC Rio de Janeiro have taken 2 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | FC Rio de Janeiro | Barra Mansa |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 26 | 30 |
| Wins | 6 | 8 |
| Draws | 3 | 9 |
| Losses | 17 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.15 | 0.93 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.12 | 1.4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.25 | 0.76 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
These sides typically produce 3.33 goals when they meet.
Barra Mansa's defensive record shows goals conceded in 63% of 30 matches.
FC Rio de Janeiro's goal record stands at 54% scoring rate across 26 recent games.
Solid form: FC Rio de Janeiro remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
FC Rio de Janeiro
(Home)Barra Mansa
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Santa Cruz RJ | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 14:3 | 22 |
| 2 | Belford Roxo | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 17:8 | 16 |
| 3 | Goytacaz | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 13:8 | 16 |
| 4 | Macae | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 13:5 | 13 |
| 5 | Serra Macaense | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 9:7 | 13 |
| 6 | Paraty | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 9:10 | 8 |
| 7 | 7 de Abril | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 11:13 | 8 |
| 8 | FC Rio de Janeiro | 8 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 7:25 | 3 |
| 9 | Barra Mansa | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 4:18 | 2 |