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Stadium Background

FC Rio de Janeiro vs Santa Cruz RJ

Brazil Brazil

Carioca B2
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Nobrega Ryan
25' Event
Pitel
34'
Parreira Leal J. E.

AI Match Summary

The Carioca B2 game between FC Rio de Janeiro and Santa Cruz RJ finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Santa Cruz RJ.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

13%
FC Rio de Janeiro
17%
Draws
70%
Santa Cruz RJ
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Santa Cruz RJ

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Santa Cruz RJ come out ahead of FC Rio de Janeiro on wins alone.
  • 70% — that's where the model lands on Santa Cruz RJ taking it.
  • Regular Carioca B2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
FC Rio de Janeiro Clean Sheet 10%
Santa Cruz RJ Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Rio de Janeiro Santa Cruz RJ
Matches Played 19 30
Wins 3 19
Draws 2 5
Losses 14 6
Goals Scored 0.88 1.63
Goals Conceded 3.13 0.63
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 3.13 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 28, 2025 Carioca B2
FC Rio de Janeiro vs Santa Cruz RJ
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FC Rio de Janeiro Compare

Top Goalscorer de Araujo Paiva M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Santa Cruz RJ Compare

Top Goalscorer Nobrega Ryan
1 Goals
Assists Leader Pitel
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Rio de Janeiro 14 / 100
Santa Cruz RJ 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Rio de Janeiro Santa Cruz RJ

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SAN Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Santa Cruz RJ has conceded goals in 63% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Santa Cruz RJ lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: FC Rio de Janeiro scored in 47% of their last 19 outings.

Scoring Trends

FC Rio de Janeiro VS Santa Cruz RJ
0.88 Goals Scored 1.63
3.13 Goals Conceded 0.63
100% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Santa Cruz RJ871014:322
2Belford Roxo851217:816
3Goytacaz851213:816
4Macae841313:513
5Serra Macaense83419:713
6Paraty82249:108
77 de Abril822411:138
8FC Rio de Janeiro81077:253
9Barra Mansa80264:182