Sport Picks

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FC Rio de Janeiro vs Uni Souza

Brazil Brazil

Carioca B2 2024
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

FC Rio de Janeiro play Uni Souza in the Carioca B2 2024. Uni Souza are favorites here. Recently, FC Rio de Janeiro averaged 1 goals scored and 2.53 conceded. Uni Souza averaged 1.48 goals scored and 1.14 conceded. In past meetings, FC Rio de Janeiro won 0, Uni Souza won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on Oct 25, 2024 ended 2:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.00 for FC Rio de Janeiro and 2.31 for Uni Souza. This points to a Uni Souza double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
FC Rio de Janeiro
21%
Draws
56%
Uni Souza
Draw rate projection: 21% Favored: Uni Souza

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • FC Rio de Janeiro picked up more points recently compared to Uni Souza.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.00 vs 2.31 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 59%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 89%
Over 1.5 Goals 80%
Over 2.5 Goals 59%
Over 3.5 Goals 35%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 43%
FC Rio de Janeiro Clean Sheet 10%
Uni Souza Clean Sheet 15%
First Half Goal 72%
Second Half Goal 76%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Rio de Janeiro Uni Souza
Matches Played 19 29
Wins 3 12
Draws 2 8
Losses 14 9
Goals Scored 1 1.48
Goals Conceded 2.53 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 3.38 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 25, 2024 Carioca B2
FC Rio de Janeiro vs Uni Souza
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FC Rio de Janeiro Compare

Top Goalscorer Gabriel Cipriano
1 Goals
Assists Leader Rodrigues J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32

Uni Souza Compare

Top Goalscorer Digreg
1 Goals
Assists Leader Adrianinho
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Rio de Janeiro 23 / 100
Uni Souza 53 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Rio de Janeiro Uni Souza

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Uni Souza Win (2)
Secondary Pick Uni Souza & Over 2.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +53.4%
6.67
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11.5%
1.89
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

FC Rio de Janeiro attacking → ← attacking Uni Souza

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FC Rio de Janeiro scored in 47% of their last 19 games.

Uni Souza let in goals in 59% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

FC Rio de Janeiro went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Uni Souza lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

11 Points in last 5 44
0.63 Goals expected (xG) 1.25
3.38 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.38

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Campo Grande1182123:626
2Bonsucesso1164120:522
3Niteroiense1163219:1221
4AA Carapebus1162323:1120
5Serra Macaense1145210:717
6Zinza1144313:816
7Barra Mansa1143412:1015
8Uni Souza1143413:1815
97 de Abril1124512:1310
10FC Rio de Janeiro1122712:238
11Mageense1120911:306
12Rio Sao Paulo112098:336