Sport Picks

Luxembourg

BGL Ligue Stade Joseph Philippart

FC Mamer

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

FC Rodange 91 play FC Mamer in the BGL Ligue. It looks like a close match. Recently, FC Rodange 91 averaged 1.24 goals scored and 2.06 conceded. FC Mamer averaged 1.07 goals scored and 2.03 conceded. In past meetings, FC Rodange 91 won 2, FC Mamer won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on May 17, 2026 ended 1:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.38 for FC Rodange 91 and 1.44 for FC Mamer. This points to a FC Rodange 91 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%

FC Rodange 91

21%

Draws

33%

FC Mamer

Draw rate projection: 21% Favored: FC Rodange 91

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

75% / High Confidence

FC Rodange 91 picked up more points recently compared to FC Mamer.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.38 vs 1.44 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 58%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 80%

Over 2.5 Goals 58%

Over 3.5 Goals 35%

Over 4.5 Goals 17%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 55%

FC Rodange 91 Clean Sheet 16%

FC Mamer Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 72%

Second Half Goal 76%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	FC Rodange 91	FC Mamer
Matches Played	33	30
Wins	10	8
Draws	5	5
Losses	18	17
Goals Scored	1.24	1.07
Goals Conceded	2.06	2.03
Expected Goals (xG)	1.13	1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.50	1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 17, 2026 BGL Ligue

FC Rodange 91 vs FC Mamer

Possession: 55% - 57% Cards: 0 - 0

1:1

Dec 7, 2025 BGL Ligue

FC Mamer vs FC Rodange 91

Possession: 55% - 48% Cards: 2 - 3

0:2

Oct 27, 2017 Luxembourg Cup

FC Mamer vs FC Rodange 91

Possession: 49% - 44% Cards: 4 - 0

1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FC Rodange 91 Compare

Top Goalscorer Bojic F.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.87

Avg xA / game 0.56

FC Mamer Compare

Top Goalscorer Badji D.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.25

Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Rodange 91 45 / 100

FC Mamer 32 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

FC Rodange 91 FC Mamer

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: FC Rodange 91 or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +21%

2.63

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +11.4%

1.92

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

FC Rodange 91 attacking → ← attacking FC Mamer

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FC Rodange 91 scored in 73% of their last 33 games.

FC Mamer let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.33 goals.

FC Rodange 91 went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

FC Mamer lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

35 Points in last 5 29

1.13 Goals expected (xG) 1.38

1.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.63

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Bissen	30	20	5	5	70:27	65
2	Differdange	30	19	8	3	63:22	65
3	Mondorf	30	19	3	8	51:24	60
4	UNA Strassen	30	17	7	6	57:26	58
5	Dudelange	30	17	7	6	59:38	58
6	Jeunesse Esch	30	10	10	10	35:34	40
7	Racing Luxembourg	30	11	7	12	48:50	40
8	Kaerjeng	30	11	5	14	43:48	38
9	Hostert	30	10	6	14	35:56	36
10	Victoria Rosport	30	10	5	15	33:50	35
11	Progres Niedercorn	30	9	7	14	44:47	34
12	Hesperange	30	9	5	16	31:46	32
13	Jeunesse Canach	30	9	4	17	29:44	31
14	FC Mamer	30	8	5	17	33:59	29
15	Union Titus Petange	30	6	7	17	26:49	25
16	FC Rodange 91	30	6	7	17	28:65	25