Sport Picks

Stadium Background

FC Rodange 91 vs Mondorf

Luxembourg Luxembourg

BGL Ligue 2025/2026 Stade Joseph Philippart
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Tinelli L.
Assist: Kumbi J.
10' Event
Steinmetz C.
Assist: Bourigeaud A.
30' Event
Mbombo Y.
Assist: Messuwe M.

AI Match Summary

The BGL Ligue 2025/2026 game between FC Rodange 91 and Mondorf finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Mondorf.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
FC Rodange 91
22%
Draws
60%
Mondorf
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Mondorf

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Mondorf carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Mondorf's way, sitting at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Mondorf here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
FC Rodange 91 Clean Sheet 18%
Mondorf Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Rodange 91 Mondorf
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 9 17
Draws 5 3
Losses 17 10
Goals Scored 0.88 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.5 0.63
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 14, 2026 BGL Ligue
FC Rodange 91 vs Mondorf
1:3
Oct 1, 2025 BGL Ligue
Mondorf vs FC Rodange 91
4:0
Jul 20, 2025 Club Friendly
FC Rodange 91 vs Mondorf
0:1
Mar 2, 2025 BGL Ligue
Mondorf vs FC Rodange 91
1:1
Sep 1, 2024 BGL Ligue
FC Rodange 91 vs Mondorf
1:5

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FC Rodange 91 Compare

Top Goalscorer Mbombo Y.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Mondorf Compare

Top Goalscorer Tinelli L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Steinmetz C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Rodange 91 20 / 100
Mondorf 58 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Rodange 91 Mondorf

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MON Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.

FC Rodange 91 scored in 71% of their last 31 games.

Defensive concern: Mondorf conceded in 67% of 30 recent games.

Mondorf's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

FC Rodange 91 VS Mondorf
0.88 Goals Scored 1.13
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.63
63% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Bissen30205570:2765
2Differdange30198363:2265
3Mondorf30193851:2460
4UNA Strassen30177657:2658
5Dudelange30177659:3858
6Jeunesse Esch3010101035:3440
7Racing Luxembourg301171248:5040
8Kaerjeng301151443:4838
9Hostert301061435:5636
10Victoria Rosport301051533:5035
11Progres Niedercorn30971444:4734
12Hesperange30951631:4632
13Jeunesse Canach30941729:4431
14FC Mamer30851733:5929
15Union Titus Petange30671726:4925
16FC Rodange 9130671728:6525