Sport Picks

Stadium Background

FC Sancti Spiritus vs FC Camaguey

Cuba Cuba

Liga Nacional
Sat, May 10, 2025
VS
08:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

FC Sancti Spiritus play FC Camaguey in the Liga Nacional. FC Camaguey are favorites here. Recently, FC Sancti Spiritus averaged 0.22 goals scored and 1.81 conceded. FC Camaguey averaged 1.57 goals scored and 0.96 conceded. In past meetings, FC Sancti Spiritus won 1, FC Camaguey won 2, and they drew 2. Their last match on Jun 14, 2025 ended 3:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.44 for FC Sancti Spiritus and 1.31 for FC Camaguey. This points to a FC Camaguey double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

17%
FC Sancti Spiritus
26%
Draws
57%
FC Camaguey
Draw rate projection: 26% Favored: FC Camaguey

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • FC Sancti Spiritus picked up more points recently compared to FC Camaguey.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.44 vs 1.31 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 40%
Over 3.5 Goals 24%
Over 4.5 Goals 12%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27%
FC Sancti Spiritus Clean Sheet 18%
FC Camaguey Clean Sheet 23%
First Half Goal 57%
Second Half Goal 60%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Sancti Spiritus FC Camaguey
Matches Played 27 28
Wins 3 14
Draws 5 6
Losses 19 8
Goals Scored 0.22 1.57
Goals Conceded 1.81 0.96
Expected Goals (xG) 0.13 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 14, 2025 Liga Nacional
FC Camaguey vs FC Sancti Spiritus
3:0
May 10, 2025 Liga Nacional
FC Sancti Spiritus vs FC Camaguey
0:0
Apr 19, 2025 Liga Nacional
FC Camaguey vs FC Sancti Spiritus
4:0
Mar 15, 2025 Liga Nacional
FC Sancti Spiritus vs FC Camaguey
1:1
Mar 4, 2023 Liga Nacional
FC Sancti Spiritus vs FC Camaguey
1:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Sancti Spiritus 19 / 100
FC Camaguey 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Sancti Spiritus FC Camaguey

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FC Camaguey Win (2)
Secondary Pick FC Camaguey & Under 3.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +88.9%
11.11
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +17.6%
2.94
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

FC Sancti Spiritus attacking → ← attacking FC Camaguey

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FC Sancti Spiritus scored in 19% of their last 27 games.

FC Camaguey let in goals in 57% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

FC Sancti Spiritus went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

FC Camaguey lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

14 Points in last 5 48
0.13 Goals expected (xG) 1.13
1.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.75

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1FC La Habana1173121:1224
2Artemisa1244418:1916
3Isla de La Juventud1132610:1611
4Pinar del Rio1023511:139
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1FC Cienfuegos1264220:1122
2FC Villa Clara1264216:722
3Matanzas1233610:1312
4Mayabeque Guines1223711:269
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Las Tunas1271420:1322
2FC Ciego de Avila1262416:920
3FC Camaguey1152417:1417
4FC Sancti Spiritus111373:206
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1FC Guantanamo1283125:627
2FC Santiago de Cuba1143412:1115
3FC Holguin1234512:1913
4CF Granma112279:228