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FC Santa Coloma vs Atletic America

Andorra Andorra

Primera Divisió 2023/2024 Estadi Comunal
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

FC Santa Coloma play Atletic America in the Primera Divisió 2023/2024. FC Santa Coloma are favorites here. Recently, FC Santa Coloma averaged 2.13 goals scored and 0.77 conceded. Atletic America averaged 0.8 goals scored and 3.2 conceded. In past meetings, FC Santa Coloma won 4, Atletic America won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Mar 10, 2024 ended 4:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.73 for FC Santa Coloma and 1.00 for Atletic America. This points to a FC Santa Coloma double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

75%
FC Santa Coloma
15%
Draws
10%
Atletic America
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: FC Santa Coloma

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • FC Santa Coloma picked up more points recently compared to Atletic America.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.73 vs 1.00 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 66%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 78%
Over 2.5 Goals 66%
Over 3.5 Goals 40%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 38%
FC Santa Coloma Clean Sheet 23%
Atletic America Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 70%
Second Half Goal 74%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Santa Coloma Atletic America
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 20 4
Draws 4 2
Losses 7 24
Goals Scored 2.13 0.8
Goals Conceded 0.77 3.2

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 10, 2024 Primera Divisió
FC Santa Coloma vs Atletic America
4:2
Feb 18, 2024 Primera Divisió
FC Santa Coloma vs Atletic America
3:0
Oct 29, 2023 Primera Divisió
FC Santa Coloma vs Atletic America
4:0
Jan 22, 2023 Andorra Cup
Atletic America vs FC Santa Coloma
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FC Santa Coloma Compare

Top Goalscorer Alaez J.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Novoa C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13

Atletic America Compare

Top Goalscorer Ruiz M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Nath K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Santa Coloma 72 / 100
Atletic America 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Santa Coloma Atletic America

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FC Santa Coloma Win (1)
Secondary Pick FC Santa Coloma & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +11.7%
1.49
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +10.2%
1.67
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

FC Santa Coloma attacking → ← attacking Atletic America

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FC Santa Coloma scored in 84% of their last 31 games.

Atletic America let in goals in 100% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

FC Santa Coloma went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Atletic America lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

64 Points in last 5 14
2.25 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
1.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1UE Santa Coloma27206157:1266
2Inter Escaldes27203466:1663
3Atletic Escaldes27193571:2160
4FC Santa Coloma27192664:2359
5Penya27135945:3444
6Ordino271061133:2936
7Pas de la Casa27391524:4618
8Esperanca27422127:8114
9Carroi27342019:7713
10Atletic America27322222:8911