Sport Picks

Stadium Background

FC Santiago de Cuba vs FC Guantanamo

Cuba Cuba

Liga Nacional
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Liga Nacional game between FC Santiago de Cuba and FC Guantanamo finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward FC Guantanamo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
FC Santiago de Cuba
20%
Draws
40%
FC Guantanamo
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and FC Guantanamo come out ahead of FC Santiago de Cuba on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans FC Guantanamo's way, sitting at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
FC Santiago de Cuba Clean Sheet 16%
FC Guantanamo Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Santiago de Cuba FC Guantanamo
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 11 16
Draws 9 8
Losses 9 7
Goals Scored 1.38 1.68
Goals Conceded 1.17 0.68
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 24, 2025 Liga Nacional
FC Guantanamo vs FC Santiago de Cuba
1:0
May 3, 2025 Liga Nacional
FC Santiago de Cuba vs FC Guantanamo
0:4
Mar 29, 2025 Liga Nacional
FC Guantanamo vs FC Santiago de Cuba
0:0
Mar 8, 2025 Liga Nacional
FC Santiago de Cuba vs FC Guantanamo
0:1
Feb 10, 2024 Liga Nacional
FC Santiago de Cuba vs FC Guantanamo
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Santiago de Cuba 28 / 100
FC Guantanamo 40 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Santiago de Cuba FC Guantanamo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FC Guantanamo Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FC Santiago de Cuba found the back of the net in 66% of recent matches (29 games).

FC Santiago de Cuba has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

FC Guantanamo has conceded goals in 48% of their last 31 outings.

H2H data points to 1.20 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

FC Santiago de Cuba VS FC Guantanamo
0.63 Goals Scored 1.75
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.63
38% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

FC Santiago de Cuba

(Home)
09 Jul
FC Ciego de Avila
1 : 2
FC Santiago de Cuba
05 Jul
FC Santiago de Cuba
1 : 1
FC Ciego de Avila
14 Jun
FC Santiago de Cuba
3 : 1
FC Holguin
24 May
FC Guantanamo
1 : 0
FC Santiago de Cuba
17 May
FC Santiago de Cuba
1 : 0
CF Granma
Page 1 of 6

FC Guantanamo

(Away)
12 Jul
FC Guantanamo
0 : 1
FC La Habana
14 Jun
CF Granma
0 : 6
FC Guantanamo
07 Jun
FC Guantanamo
1 : 1
FC Holguin
24 May
FC Guantanamo
1 : 0
FC Santiago de Cuba
17 May
FC Holguin
2 : 3
FC Guantanamo
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC La Habana 11 7 3 1 21:12 24
2 Artemisa 12 4 4 4 18:19 16
3 Isla de La Juventud 11 3 2 6 10:16 11
4 Pinar del Rio 10 2 3 5 11:13 9
Promotion - Liga Nacional (Apertura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga Nacional (Clausura - Play In)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC Cienfuegos 12 6 4 2 20:11 22
2 FC Villa Clara 12 6 4 2 16:7 22
3 Matanzas 12 3 3 6 10:13 12
4 Mayabeque Guines 12 2 3 7 11:26 9
Promotion - Liga Nacional (Apertura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga Nacional (Clausura - Play In)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Las Tunas 12 7 1 4 20:13 22
2 FC Ciego de Avila 12 6 2 4 16:9 20
3 FC Camaguey 11 5 2 4 17:14 17
4 FC Sancti Spiritus 11 1 3 7 3:20 6
Promotion - Liga Nacional (Apertura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga Nacional (Clausura - Play In)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC Guantanamo 12 8 3 1 25:6 27
2 FC Santiago de Cuba 11 4 3 4 12:11 15
3 FC Holguin 12 3 4 5 12:19 13
4 CF Granma 11 2 2 7 9:22 8
Promotion - Liga Nacional (Apertura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga Nacional (Clausura - Play In)