Sport Picks

Stadium Background

FC Santiago de Cuba vs FC Guantanamo

Cuba Cuba

Liga Nacional
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Liga Nacional game between FC Santiago de Cuba and FC Guantanamo finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward FC Guantanamo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
FC Santiago de Cuba
33%
Draws
40%
FC Guantanamo
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: FC Guantanamo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and FC Guantanamo come out ahead of FC Santiago de Cuba on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans FC Guantanamo's way, sitting at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.4%
FC Santiago de Cuba Clean Sheet 16%
FC Guantanamo Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Santiago de Cuba FC Guantanamo
Matches Played 28 31
Wins 10 17
Draws 9 7
Losses 9 7
Goals Scored 0.63 1.75
Goals Conceded 1.13 0.63
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 24, 2025 Liga Nacional
FC Guantanamo vs FC Santiago de Cuba
1:0
May 3, 2025 Liga Nacional
FC Santiago de Cuba vs FC Guantanamo
0:4
Mar 29, 2025 Liga Nacional
FC Guantanamo vs FC Santiago de Cuba
0:0
Mar 8, 2025 Liga Nacional
FC Santiago de Cuba vs FC Guantanamo
0:1
Feb 10, 2024 Liga Nacional
FC Santiago de Cuba vs FC Guantanamo
0:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Santiago de Cuba 28 / 100
FC Guantanamo 40 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Santiago de Cuba FC Guantanamo

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GUA Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FC Santiago de Cuba found the back of the net in 64% of recent matches (28 games).

FC Santiago de Cuba has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

FC Guantanamo has conceded goals in 42% of their last 31 outings.

H2H data points to 1.20 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

FC Santiago de Cuba VS FC Guantanamo
0.63 Goals Scored 1.75
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.63
38% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1FC La Habana1173121:1224
2Artemisa1244418:1916
3Isla de La Juventud1132610:1611
4Pinar del Rio1023511:139
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1FC Cienfuegos1264220:1122
2FC Villa Clara1264216:722
3Matanzas1233610:1312
4Mayabeque Guines1223711:269
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Las Tunas1271420:1322
2FC Ciego de Avila1262416:920
3FC Camaguey1152417:1417
4FC Sancti Spiritus111373:206
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1FC Guantanamo1283125:627
2FC Santiago de Cuba1143412:1115
3FC Holguin1234512:1913
4CF Granma112279:228