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FC Sevastopol vs Rostov 2

Russia Russia

FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1 2025 Sportyvnyj Kompleks
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Match Events

37'
Kupriyanov N.
38'
Mironenko V.
52'
Isaev M.

AI Match Summary

FC Sevastopol in this FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1 2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored FC Sevastopol.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
FC Sevastopol
39%
Draws
30%
Rostov 2
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to FC Sevastopol lately — more wins on the board than Rostov 2.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
FC Sevastopol Clean Sheet 15%
Rostov 2 Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Sevastopol Rostov 2
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 20 13
Draws 9 5
Losses 2 12
Goals Scored 1.38 2.5
Goals Conceded 0.63 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 2.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 4, 2026 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1
FC Sevastopol vs Rostov 2
2:1
Oct 25, 2025 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1
FC Sevastopol vs Rostov 2
1:0
Sep 27, 2025 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1
Rostov 2 vs FC Sevastopol
0:1
Aug 23, 2025 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1
Rostov 2 vs FC Sevastopol
0:0
May 24, 2025 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1
FC Sevastopol vs Rostov 2
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FC Sevastopol Compare

Top Goalscorer Potapov L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Rostov 2 Compare

Avg xG / game 2.27
Avg xA / game 1.39

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Sevastopol 31 / 100
Rostov 2 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Sevastopol Rostov 2

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ROS Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: FC Sevastopol scored in 81% of their last 31 outings.

Defensive concern: Rostov 2 conceded in 73% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Recent resilience: FC Sevastopol stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

FC Sevastopol VS Rostov 2
1.38 Goals Scored 2.5
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 88%
13% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Dynamo Stavropol362110555:3273
2FC Sevastopol362012457:3672
3Kuban Kholding361614656:2962
4Nart Cherkessk361781147:2959
5FK Pobeda361641640:4752
6Rostov 2361471543:3749