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FC Sevastopol vs Spartak Nalchik - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1
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Match Events

76' Event
Grechkin A.

AI Match Summary

FC Sevastopol in this FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored FC Sevastopol.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

61%
FC Sevastopol
15%
Draws
24%
Spartak Nalchik
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: FC Sevastopol

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

61% / High Confidence
  • FC Sevastopol have won more games recently than Spartak Nalchik.
  • Win probability leans FC Sevastopol's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
FC Sevastopol Clean Sheet 20%
Spartak Nalchik Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Sevastopol Spartak Nalchik
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 22 12
Draws 5 9
Losses 3 9
Goals Scored 1.97 1.43
Goals Conceded 0.87 1.2
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 29, 2026 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1
FC Sevastopol vs Spartak Nalchik
1:0
Jul 4, 2026 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1
Spartak Nalchik vs FC Sevastopol
3:2
Jul 5, 2025 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1
FC Sevastopol vs Spartak Nalchik
1:0
Apr 19, 2025 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1
Spartak Nalchik vs FC Sevastopol
2:2
Aug 10, 2024 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1
FC Sevastopol vs Spartak Nalchik
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FC Sevastopol Compare

Top Goalscorer Grechkin A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Spartak Nalchik Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Sevastopol 85 / 100
Spartak Nalchik 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Sevastopol Spartak Nalchik

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FC Sevastopol Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: FC Sevastopol scored in 90% of their last 30 outings.

FC Sevastopol went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Spartak Nalchik has conceded goals in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

FC Sevastopol VS Spartak Nalchik
2 Goals Scored 1.38
0.88 Goals Conceded 2
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

FC Sevastopol

(Home)
03 Oct
FC Sevastopol
2 : 0
Zarya Lugansk
26 Sept
Rostov 2
0 : 1
FC Sevastopol
22 Sept
FC Sevastopol
3 : 1
Rubin Yalta
05 Sept
FC Sevastopol
2 : 1
Kyzyltash
29 Aug
FC Sevastopol
1 : 0
Spartak Nalchik
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Spartak Nalchik

(Away)
03 Oct
Spartak Nalchik
2 : 1
Astrakhan
26 Sept
FK Pobeda
4 : 3
Spartak Nalchik
19 Sept
Maykop
2 : 1
Spartak Nalchik
12 Sept
Angust Nazran
1 : 2
Spartak Nalchik
05 Sept
Spartak Nalchik
0 : 1
Nart Cherkessk
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