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FC Slonim vs Smorgon

Belarus Belarus

Pershaya Liga Yunost Stadium, Slonim
Sun, Aug 16, 2026
VS
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

FC Slonim host Smorgon in the Pershaya Liga. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. FC Slonim have averaged 1.72 scored and 1.66 conceded recently, against Smorgon's 1.41 scored and 1.52 conceded. Head-to-head, FC Slonim have won 2 to Smorgon's 3, with 0 draws. They last met on Apr 18, 2026, ending 0:2. Model xG sits at 1.63 vs 1.75, favoring FC Slonim. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
FC Slonim
15%
Draws
42%
Smorgon
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: FC Slonim

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Smorgon haven't matched FC Slonim's recent run of results.
  • 43% — that's where the model lands on FC Slonim taking it.
  • Regular Pershaya Liga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
FC Slonim Clean Sheet 12%
Smorgon Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Slonim Smorgon
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 13 10
Draws 3 6
Losses 13 13
Goals Scored 1.72 1.41
Goals Conceded 1.66 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 18, 2026 Pershaya Liga
Smorgon vs FC Slonim
0:2
Aug 13, 2022 Pershaya Liga
FC Slonim vs Smorgon
1:3
Apr 10, 2022 Pershaya Liga
Smorgon vs FC Slonim
2:0
Sep 19, 2020 Pershaya Liga
Smorgon vs FC Slonim
0:2
May 17, 2020 Pershaya Liga
FC Slonim vs Smorgon
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Slonim 38 / 100
Smorgon 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Slonim Smorgon

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FC Slonim Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FC Slonim found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (29 games).

Smorgon let in goals in 62% of their last 29 matches.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Difficult form: Smorgon registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

FC Slonim VS Smorgon
1.63 Goals Scored 1.38
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

FC Slonim

(Home)
10 Aug
FC Slonim
3 : 1
BumProm Gomel
06 Aug
FC Slonim
2 : 3
FC Minsk 2
01 Aug
FC Slonim
0 : 2
Osipovichi
26 Jul
FK Lida
1 : 3
FC Slonim
18 Jul
FC Slonim
0 : 1
Isloch Minsk
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Smorgon

(Away)
10 Aug
Smorgon
2 : 0
BATE 2
05 Aug
Uni X Labs
2 : 0
Smorgon
01 Aug
Molodechno
3 : 0
Smorgon
25 Jul
Smorgon
2 : 0
FC Gomel 2
18 Jul
Smorgon
3 : 4
FC Minsk
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Niva Dolbizno 19 12 3 4 43:21 39
2 Slutsk 19 12 3 4 39:22 39
3 FK Lida 19 11 3 5 35:29 36
4 SKA-1938 Minsk 19 10 5 4 38:22 35
5 FC Slonim 19 10 3 6 36:24 33
6 Volna Pinsk 19 9 4 6 34:29 31
7 Soligorsk 19 8 5 6 38:28 29
8 Molodechno 19 9 2 8 30:33 29
9 BumProm Gomel 19 8 4 7 34:27 28
10 Din. Minsk 2 18 7 4 7 32:26 25
11 FC Minsk 2 19 8 1 10 25:36 25
12 Orsha 18 6 3 9 21:33 21
13 Ostrovets 19 4 9 6 23:27 21
14 Uni X Labs 19 5 5 9 17:27 20
15 FC Gomel 2 19 5 5 9 28:30 20
16 Smorgon 19 5 5 9 22:29 20
17 Osipovichi 19 4 1 14 22:51 13
18 BATE 2 19 2 5 12 22:45 11
Promotion - Vysshaya Liga 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Vysshaya Liga (Relegation)