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FC Slonim vs Smorgon - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Belarus Belarus

Pershaya Liga Yunost Stadium, Slonim
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Match Events

46'
Sub
Starovoytov A. In: Konev A.
Out: Starovoytov A.
46'
Sub
Fartuna B. In: Kukhley R.
Out: Fartuna B.
46'
Sub
Yarotskiy Y. In: Stankevich A.
Out: Yarotskiy Y.

AI Match Summary

The Pershaya Liga game between FC Slonim and Smorgon finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Smorgon.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
FC Slonim
30%
Draws
33%
Smorgon
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: FC Slonim

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Smorgon haven't matched FC Slonim's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Pershaya Liga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
FC Slonim Clean Sheet 18%
Smorgon Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Slonim Smorgon
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 15 10
Draws 5 6
Losses 9 13
Goals Scored 1.9 1.48
Goals Conceded 1.14 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 16, 2026 Pershaya Liga
FC Slonim vs Smorgon
0:2
Apr 18, 2026 Pershaya Liga
Smorgon vs FC Slonim
0:2
Aug 13, 2022 Pershaya Liga
FC Slonim vs Smorgon
1:3
Apr 10, 2022 Pershaya Liga
Smorgon vs FC Slonim
2:0
Sep 19, 2020 Pershaya Liga
Smorgon vs FC Slonim
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FC Slonim Compare

Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Smorgon Compare

Top Goalscorer Nsangou J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mychelkin E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Slonim 31 / 100
Smorgon 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Slonim Smorgon

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FC Slonim Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Solid form: FC Slonim remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

FC Slonim scored in 76% of their last 29 games.

Smorgon has conceded goals in 62% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

FC Slonim VS Smorgon
1.88 Goals Scored 1.38
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

FC Slonim

(Home)
03 Oct
FC Slonim
1 : 1
Soligorsk
25 Sept
FC Slonim
2 : 1
BATE 2
19 Sept
Uni X Labs
0 : 1
FC Slonim
12 Sept
FC Slonim
0 : 0
Molodechno
06 Sept
FC Gomel 2
2 : 5
FC Slonim
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Smorgon

(Away)
03 Oct
Smorgon
2 : 0
Osipovichi
25 Sept
FK Lida
2 : 1
Smorgon
19 Sept
Smorgon
1 : 0
Niva Dolbizno
12 Sept
SKA-1938 Minsk
0 : 2
Smorgon
06 Sept
Smorgon
1 : 1
Slutsk
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Slutsk 27 17 6 4 56:28 57
2 Niva Dolbizno 27 17 4 6 67:31 55
3 FK Lida 27 17 3 7 51:43 54
4 SKA-1938 Minsk 27 16 5 6 56:31 53
5 FC Slonim 27 14 5 8 49:32 47
6 Molodechno 26 14 3 9 45:40 45
7 BumProm Gomel 27 12 5 10 52:41 41
8 Soligorsk 27 11 7 9 52:44 40
9 Din. Minsk 2 25 10 5 10 42:37 35
10 Ostrovets 27 8 11 8 37:39 35
11 Volna Pinsk 27 10 4 13 40:50 34
12 Smorgon 27 9 6 12 33:36 33
13 FC Minsk 2 27 9 3 15 37:50 30
14 Orsha 27 7 6 14 28:51 27
15 Uni X Labs 26 6 8 12 25:35 26
16 BATE 2 27 5 7 15 36:61 22
17 FC Gomel 2 27 5 6 16 36:55 21
18 Osipovichi 27 5 4 18 29:67 19
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