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FC Stumbras 2 vs Banga

Lithuania Lithuania

I Lyga 2019
Sun, Sep 15, 2019
VS
12:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

FC Stumbras 2 host Banga in the I Lyga 2019. Recent form is the clearest guide to this one. FC Stumbras 2 have averaged 0.91 scored and 1.64 conceded recently, against Banga's 1.48 scored and 0.9 conceded. Head-to-head, FC Stumbras 2 have won 1 to Banga's 3, with 1 draws. They last met on Sep 15, 2019, ending 0:0. The numbers (0.92 xG vs 1.11) point toward Banga. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
FC Stumbras 2
20%
Draws
36%
Banga
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: FC Stumbras 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

44% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Banga lately — more wins on the board than FC Stumbras 2.
  • Model gives FC Stumbras 2 a 44% chance of winning this.
  • Regular I Lyga 2019 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 62.2%
FC Stumbras 2 Clean Sheet 20%
Banga Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Stumbras 2 Banga
Matches Played 11 31
Wins 4 14
Draws 2 8
Losses 5 9
Goals Scored 0.91 1.48
Goals Conceded 1.64 0.9
Expected Goals (xG) 0.92 1.11
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 15, 2019 I Lyga
FC Stumbras 2 vs Banga
0:0
May 20, 2019 I Lyga
Banga vs FC Stumbras 2
3:0
Oct 20, 2018 I Lyga
Banga vs FC Stumbras 2
2:0
Jun 23, 2018 I Lyga
FC Stumbras 2 vs Banga
0:4
Sep 26, 2017 I Lyga
FC Stumbras 2 vs Banga
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Stumbras 2 40 / 100
Banga 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Stumbras 2 Banga

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FC Stumbras 2 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Banga's defensive record shows goals conceded in 61% of 31 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: FC Stumbras 2 scored in 36% of their last 11 outings.

FC Stumbras 2 has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Banga
0 Goals Scored 1.13
0 Goals Conceded 0.63
0% Over 1.5 38%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

FC Stumbras 2

(Home)
23 Jun
FC Hegelmann
3 : 0
FC Stumbras 2
18 Jun
Dziugas Telsiai
3 : 0
FC Stumbras 2
20 May
Banga
3 : 0
FC Stumbras 2
13 May
Dainava Alytus
0 : 2
FC Stumbras 2
05 May
FC Stumbras 2
4 : 0
Riteriai 2
Page 1 of 3

Banga

(Away)
19 Sept
Banga
2 : 0
Dziugas Telsiai
14 Sept
Banga
1 : 3
Transinvest
03 Sept
Banga
0 : 3
FK Panevezys
30 Aug
Banga
0 : 0
FK Kauno Zalgiris
23 Aug
FC Hegelmann
1 : 1
Banga
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dziugas Telsiai 28 19 4 5 58:23 61
2 Banga 28 17 5 6 57:24 56
3 Vilniaus Vytis 28 17 4 7 74:31 55
4 Dainava Alytus 28 17 2 9 64:32 53
5 Nevezis Kedainiai 28 16 4 8 66:37 52
6 FA Siauliai 28 14 5 9 61:37 47
7 FC Hegelmann 28 12 8 8 57:42 44
8 FK Minija 28 12 5 11 54:49 41
9 Jonava 28 12 4 12 55:46 40
10 Kupiskis 28 10 6 12 49:56 36
11 BFA Vilnius 28 10 3 15 56:53 33
12 Riteriai 2 28 9 5 14 61:49 32
13 Zalgiris 2 28 6 4 18 43:83 22
14 FK Atmosfera 28 3 4 21 23:96 13
15 FC Pakruojis 28 3 3 22 25:145 12
16 FC Stumbras 2 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - A Lyga 2020 (Main)
Promotion - A Lyga 2019 (Relegation)