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FC Stumbras 2 vs Zalgiris 2

Lithuania Lithuania

I Lyga 2019
Sun, Oct 6, 2019
VS
11:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

FC Stumbras 2 host Zalgiris 2 in the I Lyga 2019. Little to choose between these two on current form. Zalgiris 2 have shipped 1.43 goals a game lately, while FC Stumbras 2 have conceded 1.64 and scored 0.91. Past meetings favor FC Stumbras 2 slightly — 2-0-3 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Oct 6, 2019, ending 0:0. xG projections (1.60 - 1.11) back FC Stumbras 2 to edge this. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
FC Stumbras 2
15%
Draws
57%
Zalgiris 2
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Zalgiris 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • FC Stumbras 2 haven't matched Zalgiris 2's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Zalgiris 2's way, sitting at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
FC Stumbras 2 Clean Sheet 20%
Zalgiris 2 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Stumbras 2 Zalgiris 2
Matches Played 11 35
Wins 4 15
Draws 2 7
Losses 5 13
Goals Scored 0.91 1.46
Goals Conceded 1.64 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 1.60 1.11
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 6, 2019 I Lyga
FC Stumbras 2 vs Zalgiris 2
0:0
Aug 20, 2019 I Lyga
Zalgiris 2 vs FC Stumbras 2
0:0
Oct 10, 2018 I Lyga
FC Stumbras 2 vs Zalgiris 2
1:0
Apr 23, 2018 I Lyga
Zalgiris 2 vs FC Stumbras 2
1:1
Oct 21, 2017 I Lyga
FC Stumbras 2 vs Zalgiris 2
5:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Stumbras 2 24 / 100
Zalgiris 2 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Stumbras 2 Zalgiris 2

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Zalgiris 2 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Zalgiris 2 has conceded goals in 74% of their last 35 outings.

H2H data points to 1.60 goals as a typical output.

FC Stumbras 2's goal record stands at 36% scoring rate across 11 recent games.

Recent resilience: FC Stumbras 2 stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Zalgiris 2
0 Goals Scored 1.13
0 Goals Conceded 2
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

FC Stumbras 2

(Home)
23 Jun
FC Hegelmann
3 : 0
FC Stumbras 2
18 Jun
Dziugas Telsiai
3 : 0
FC Stumbras 2
20 May
Banga
3 : 0
FC Stumbras 2
13 May
Dainava Alytus
0 : 2
FC Stumbras 2
05 May
FC Stumbras 2
4 : 0
Riteriai 2
Page 1 of 3

Zalgiris 2

(Away)
20 Sept
Zalgiris 2
0 : 1
FK Babrungas
12 Sept
Tauras Taurage
0 : 1
Zalgiris 2
07 Sept
Zalgiris 2
1 : 0
Neptunas
28 Aug
Dainava Alytus
0 : 1
Zalgiris 2
25 Aug
Zalgiris 2
4 : 3
Transinvest 2
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dziugas Telsiai 28 19 4 5 58:23 61
2 Banga 28 17 5 6 57:24 56
3 Vilniaus Vytis 28 17 4 7 74:31 55
4 Dainava Alytus 28 17 2 9 64:32 53
5 Nevezis Kedainiai 28 16 4 8 66:37 52
6 FA Siauliai 28 14 5 9 61:37 47
7 FC Hegelmann 28 12 8 8 57:42 44
8 FK Minija 28 12 5 11 54:49 41
9 Jonava 28 12 4 12 55:46 40
10 Kupiskis 28 10 6 12 49:56 36
11 BFA Vilnius 28 10 3 15 56:53 33
12 Riteriai 2 28 9 5 14 61:49 32
13 Zalgiris 2 28 6 4 18 43:83 22
14 FK Atmosfera 28 3 4 21 23:96 13
15 FC Pakruojis 28 3 3 22 25:145 12
16 FC Stumbras 2 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - A Lyga 2020 (Main)
Promotion - A Lyga 2019 (Relegation)