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FC Stumbras vs Palanga

Lithuania Lithuania

A Lyga 2019
Sat, Jun 15, 2019
0 - 3
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

FC Stumbras host Palanga in the A Lyga 2019. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Palanga have shipped 2.03 goals a game lately, while FC Stumbras have conceded 2.13 and scored 0.47. Past meetings favor Palanga slightly — 1-4-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Oct 5, 2019, ending 0:3. Model xG sits at 1.85 vs 2.00, favoring Palanga. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
FC Stumbras
15%
Draws
85%
Palanga
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Palanga

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • FC Stumbras haven't matched Palanga's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Palanga's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 83%).
  • Palanga have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 83%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 62.6%
FC Stumbras Clean Sheet 10%
Palanga Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FC Stumbras Palanga
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 5 8
Draws 3 1
Losses 22 21
Goals Scored 0.47 1.07
Goals Conceded 2.13 2.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.85 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 5, 2019 TOPLYGA
FC Stumbras vs Palanga
0:3
Aug 11, 2019 TOPLYGA
Palanga vs FC Stumbras
3:0
Jun 15, 2019 TOPLYGA
FC Stumbras vs Palanga
0:3
Apr 20, 2019 TOPLYGA
Palanga vs FC Stumbras
2:1
Oct 24, 2018 TOPLYGA
Palanga vs FC Stumbras
1:5

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Stumbras 10 / 100
Palanga 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FC Stumbras Palanga

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Palanga Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Palanga let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.60 goals per match.

FC Stumbras's goal record stands at 30% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Palanga's recent record shows 2 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

FC Stumbras VS Palanga
0 Goals Scored 1
3 Goals Conceded 2.5
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

FC Stumbras

(Home)
26 Oct
FK Kauno Zalgiris
3 : 0
FC Stumbras
19 Oct
Zalgiris
3 : 0
FC Stumbras
05 Oct
FC Stumbras
0 : 3
Palanga
25 Sept
FC Stumbras
0 : 3
Suduva
21 Sept
Atlantas
3 : 0
FC Stumbras
Page 1 of 6

Palanga

(Away)
09 Nov
Palanga
2 : 2
Banga
03 Nov
Banga
2 : 0
Palanga
26 Oct
Atlantas
0 : 1
Palanga
12 Oct
Palanga
0 : 4
Suduva
05 Oct
FC Stumbras
0 : 3
Palanga
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Suduva 28 25 0 3 74:15 75
2 Zalgiris 28 21 2 5 67:22 65
3 Riteriai 28 13 7 8 44:29 46
4 FK Kauno Zalgiris 28 13 5 10 48:39 44
5 FK Panevezys 28 8 7 13 41:53 31
6 Atlantas 28 7 5 16 26:53 26
7 Palanga 28 6 1 21 29:70 19
8 FC Stumbras 28 4 3 21 12:60 15
Relegation - A Lyga 2019 (Relegation)
Relegation - I Lyga 2020 (Main)
Promotion - A Lyga 2019 (Championship Group)
Promotion - A Lyga 2019 (Championship Group)
Promotion - A Lyga 2019 (Championship Group)
Promotion - A Lyga 2019 (Championship Group)
Promotion - A Lyga 2019 (Championship Group)
Promotion - A Lyga 2019 (Championship Group)