Sport Picks

Estonia

Esiliiga 2023

FC Tallinn

5 - 0

FC Alliance

Our Tip

Match Events

20'

Nesterov K.

31'

Sub

Golovljov E. In: Plotnikov V.

Out: Golovljov E.

34'

Plotnikov V.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Esiliiga 2023 game between FC Tallinn and FC Alliance finished 5-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward FC Tallinn.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%

FC Tallinn

20%

Draws

38%

FC Alliance

Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: FC Tallinn

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence

FC Tallinn carry the better recent record into this one.
FC Tallinn are the model's pick here, at 42%.
Regular Esiliiga 2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
History favors FC Tallinn here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 70%

Over 4.5 Goals 32%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%

FC Tallinn Clean Sheet 10%

FC Alliance Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	FC Tallinn	FC Alliance
Matches Played	33	30
Wins	11	4
Draws	6	2
Losses	16	24
Goals Scored	2	0
Goals Conceded	3	0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 28, 2023 Esiliiga

FC Alliance vs FC Tallinn

Possession: 52% - 45% Cards: 4 - 1

1:5

Aug 12, 2023 Esiliiga

FC Tallinn vs FC Alliance

Possession: 44% - 49% Cards: 2 - 1

2:1

Jun 4, 2023 Esiliiga

FC Tallinn vs FC Alliance

Possession: 52% - 53% Cards: 1 - 0

5:0

Apr 23, 2023 Esiliiga

FC Alliance vs FC Tallinn

Possession: 53% - 41% Cards: 3 - 0

2:3

Feb 6, 2022 Club Friendly

FC Tallinn vs FC Alliance

Possession: 47% - 40% Cards: 4 - 4

5:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FC Tallinn Compare

Top Goalscorer Nesterov K.

2 Goals

Assists Leader Taar A.

2 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.54

Avg xA / game 1

FC Alliance Compare

Avg xG / game 0

Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FC Tallinn 40 / 100

FC Alliance 36 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

FC Tallinn FC Alliance

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FC Alliance's defensive record shows goals conceded in 93% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 4.80 goals when they meet.

FC Tallinn scored in 70% of their last 33 games.

Difficult form: FC Alliance registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

FC Tallinn VS -

2 Goals Scored 0

3 Goals Conceded 0

100% Over 1.5 0%

75% Over 2.5 0%

75% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Nomme Utd	36	28	6	2	114:29	90
2	Viimsi JK	36	21	8	7	67:35	71
3	Flora Tallinn U21	36	22	3	11	86:53	69
4	Levadia U21	36	16	9	11	57:46	57
5	Tabasalu	36	18	1	17	81:70	55
6	FC Tallinn	36	16	4	16	72:65	52
7	Paide Linnameeskond U21	36	12	5	19	66:82	41
8	Elva	36	12	4	20	45:75	40
9	Legion	36	5	6	25	37:97	21
10	FC Alliance	36	6	2	28	50:123	20